Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 14

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 14

DFS

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 14

Everyone knows to start studs in DFS. What can bring home the money in is finding players who will produce at a lower salary that might not be on many lineup cards. Each week we’ll release our top DFS value plays and bargain basement plays to help fill out your lineups.

Week 13 Recap (Points are based on DraftKings scoring)

QB
Case Keenum: 17.0
Josh McCown: 34.1

RB
Dion Lewis: 9.2
Rex Burkhead: 26.0
Jamaal Williams: 23.3

WR
Cooper Kupp: 11.8
Randall Cobb: 0.0

TE
Hunter Henry: 15.1
Ricky Seals-Jones: 6.6

D/ST
Titans: 10.0
Raiders: 8.0

Quarterbacks

Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($5,900 DraftKings) ($7,200 FanDuel)

Winston returned against the Packers Sunday after a three-week absence. He threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns. Winston lost a fumble that was returned for a score but overall it was one of his better games of the year.

Winston has a good shot to make it two strong games in a row when he faces the Lions defense this week. Detroit is allowing an average of 257.5 passing yards a game to opposing quarterbacks. The Lions pass defense has really been struggling over its last two games. Case Keenum (282) and Joe Flacco (269) have each gone over 260 yards passing with two touchdowns. Detroit has allowed at least 18 fantasy points to quarterbacks in four of its last five games. Those quarterbacks are Flacco, Keenum, Brett Hundley and DeShone Kizer.

Winston has scored at least 19 DraftKings points five times this year. Now facing a fading Lions pass defense, he’s one of the better value plays on the board this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Jimmy Garoppolo, San Francisco 49ers ($5,500 DraftKings) ($7,000 FanDuel)

Garoppolo made his first start for the 49ers and led San Francisco to just its second win of the season. He put up a solid performance with 293 yards, no touchdowns and an interception.

The bottom line is Garoppolo moved the offense and he gets a much easier matchup this week. The Texans allow the most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks this season (DraftKings 21.4, FanDuel 20.0). Five different quarterbacks have eclipsed 300 yards against Houston’s defense and the Texans have given up at least three touchdowns in a game five times.

Garoppolo is only making his second start of the season but he should improve on last week’s performance given his strong matchup.

Running Backs

Alfred Morris, Dallas Cowboys ($5,500 DraftKings) ($6,800 FanDuel)

The Cowboys got back to running the football last week. Morris gained 127 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries. Look for Morris to be busy again on Sunday when he faces a Giants defense that allows 110 yards per game on the ground.

The Giants were a wall against the run last season. Not so much this year. New York is allowing the 12th most fantasy PPG to running backs (DraftKings 25.3, FanDuel 21.7). The Giants have allowed a running back to rush for at least 70 yards eight times this season and four times in their last six games.

Morris has gained over 90 yards in two of his last three games. In the game he didn’t reach that mark, Morris only got nine carries. He should see a lot more than nine carries this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Peyton Barber, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($4,500 DraftKings) ($5,500 FanDuel)

Barber rushed for 102 yards on 23 carries (4.4 YPC) against the Packers while starting for an injured Doug Martin (concussion). He also caught four passes for 41 yards.

Martin could return this week but he hasn’t been productive all year. He’s only topped 70 yards in two of eight games. Barber recorded the Buccaneers first 100-yard game after scoring twice the week before.

If Martin is out again this week, Barber has a favorable matchup to exploit. The Lions allow the fourth most fantasy PPG to running backs (DraftKings 27.4, FanDuel 23.4). Detroit’s defense has given up at least 75 yards rushing to a running eight times this year and 13 total touchdowns.

Martin did practice on a limited basis Wednesday but he’s no lock to play or resume his role as Tampa Bay’s primary running back. If Barber is the lead back again this week, he’ll be a strong play versus a weak rush defense.

Wide Receivers

Marquise Goodwin, San Francisco 49ers ($6,400 DraftKings) ($5,700 FanDuel)

Goodwin caught 8 of 8 targets for 99 yards last week against the Bears. The 49ers passing game is improved with Garoppolo at quarterback and Goodwin benefited leading the 49ers in targets, receptions and yards. He has at least 68 yards receiving in five of his last six games.

Goodwin has a great matchup this week against a Texans defense allowing the ninth most fantasy PPG to receivers (DraftKings 35.2, FanDuel 28.4). Houston’s defense has given up five 100-yard receivers and a total of 13 touchdowns to the position.

Goodwin has scored 17.9, 11.8 and 17.1 DK points the last three weeks. Look for him to keep it going versus a beatable Texans secondary on Sunday.

Bargain Basement Play

Cordarrelle Patterson, Oakland Raiders ($3,800 DraftKings) ($4,500 FanDuel)

Patterson led the Raiders in receiving on Sunday with both Michael Crabtree (suspension) and Amari Cooper (injury) out. He caught four passes for 97 yards against the Giants. Patterson now has four receptions in each of his last three games and he’s topped 70 yards twice.

Crabtree will return in Week 14 but Copper may miss another game. If Cooper doesn’t play, Patterson is an intriguing option against the Chiefs awful pass defense. Kansas City allows the second most fantasy PPG to (DraftKings 40.5, FanDuel 32.5). Seven receivers have gone over 100 yards on the Chiefs defense and they’ve allowed 16 total touchdowns.

The last time Derek Carr faced the Chiefs he threw for 417 yards and three touchdowns. Patterson will be a high upside play at a low salary if Cooper can’t go this week.

Tight Ends

Hunter Henry, San Diego Chargers ($4,600 DraftKings) ($5,600 FanDuel)

After a disappointing start to the year, Henry has heated up at just the right time. He has 12 receptions for 157 yards and a touchdown on 14 targets in his last two games.

This week Henry gets a Redskins defense that’s struggled when it comes to covering tight ends. Washington is allowing the fifth most fantasy PPG to tight ends (DraftKings 15.7, FanDuel 12.8). The Redskins have given up at least five receptions to a tight end six times this year.

Henry was limited in practice on Wednesday but his injury isn’t believed to be serious. Assuming he plays, Henry is one of the top tight ends for the money in Week 14.

Bargain Basement Play

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, New York Jets ($3,600 DraftKings) ($5,900 FanDuel)

Seferian-Jenkins has only topped 30 yards receiving once in his last six games. That could end this week though against the Broncos.

Denver has allowed the most passing touchdowns this season. Eight of them have gone to tight ends. The Broncos are giving up the third most fantasy PPG to tight ends this season (DraftKings 16.3, FanDuel 13.5). Denver has allowed a touchdown to an opposing tight end in five of its last seven games.

Seferian-Jenkins usually needs to score to have fantasy value. There’s a strong possibility he finds the end zone this week. He’s cheap for a reason but Seferian-Jenkins has a matchup to take advantage of this week.

Defense/Special Teams

Cincinnati Bengals ($3,300 DraftKings) ($4,600 FanDuel)

The Bengals defense has been a good fantasy option when facing poor offenses. The Bears qualify as a poor offense. The Bengals have recorded 12 sacks, three interceptions and two fumble recoveries over their last four games. Cincinnati has scored at least eight DK points six times this year and they have a favorable matchup on Sunday. The Bears have allowed the fifth most fantasy points (10) to team defenses. The Bengals are one of the top value fantasy defenses this week.

Bargain Basement Play

New York Jets ($3,300 DraftKings) ($4,500 FanDuel)

The Jets are the same price as the Bengals on DraftKings but both defenses are strong plays this week. It’s not that New York has been a great fantasy defense, it’s more than their opponent has been dreadful on offense. The big problem for the Broncos is their quarterback. Trevor Siemian was re-inserted as the Broncos starter last week. Siemian completed just 19 of 41 passes for 200 yards, no touchdowns and three interceptions. The Broncos are allowing the most fantasy PPG (13) to team defenses. It’s hard not to like the Jets this week, especially at their bargain salary.

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