Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 15

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 15

DFS

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 15

Everyone knows to start studs in DFS. What can bring home the money in is finding players who will produce at a lower salary that might not be on many lineup cards. Each week we’ll release our top DFS value plays and bargain basement plays to help fill out your lineups.

Week 14 Recap (Points are based on DraftKings scoring)

QB
Jameis Winston: 16.4
Jimmy Garoppolo: 19.1

RB
Alfred Morris: 11.5
Peyton Barber: 7.3

WR
Marquise Goodwin: 19.6
Cordarrelle Patterson: 3.8

TE
Hunter Henry: 15.0
Austin Seferian-Jenkins: 1.1

D/ST
Bengals: 1.0
Jets: 2.0

Quarterbacks

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,700 DraftKings) ($7,400 FanDuel)

Bortles has been producing consistently over his last seven games. During that span, he has thrown for at least 259 yards five times and accounted for 10 touchdowns. In his last two games, Bortles is completing 71 percent of his passes for 577 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions. He has the highest passer rating of any NFL quarterback in December.

This week Bortles gets a Texans defense that has been getting lit up by opposing quarterbacks. Houston is allowing the most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks on DraftKings (21.2) and the second most on FanDuel (19.6). The Texans defense has given up a 300-yard passer six times this season and 24 touchdowns to the position.

Bortles has scored at least 16 DraftKings points in six of his last seven games and topped 20 points three times over that span. Look for Bortles to stay this week versus the Texans.

Bargain Basement Play

Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens ($5,100 DraftKings) ($6,800 FanDuel)

Flacco certainly hasn’t been a great play this year. He’s scored 11 DK points or fewer nine times. However, Flacco has played well lately, throwing for 269 yards and two touchdowns in each of his last two games.

This week Flacco faces a Browns defense that made Brett Hundley (265/3) look like Brett Favre. Cleveland is allowing the eighth most fantasy PPG on DraftKings (19.5) and the sixth most on FanDuel (19.1). The Browns defense has allowed at least two passing touchdowns in a game nine times this year.

Back in Week 2, Flacco threw for 217 yards, one touchdown and an interception against Cleveland. Flacco doesn’t have a huge ceiling but he has the matchup to once again score in the 20-point range.

Running Backs

Alex Collins, Baltimore Ravens ($5,000 DraftKings) ($6,600 FanDuel)

Collins has been a revelation for fantasy owners. In a tough matchup last week against the Steelers, he ran for 120 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. In his last two games, Collins has scored over 20 DK points.

Collins doesn’t have a great matchup on paper this week. The Browns allow the 20th most fantasy points to running backs and just 83.5 yards rushing per game. Still, Cleveland has allowed 100-yard rushers in two of the last three games. Last week, the Packers Jamaal Williams gained 118 total yards and scored twice.

Collins showed against the Steelers that he can put up big numbers on a tough rush defense. At just $5,000 on DraftKings, Collins’ is too much value to pass up.

Bargain Basement Play

Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers ($4,100 DraftKings) ($5,800 FanDuel)

Stewart had by far his best game of the season on Sunday versus the Vikings. He rushed for 103 yards and three touchdowns on 16 carries. Stewart now has five touchdowns in his last three games.

His big game was a surprise since Stewart has topped 70 yards rushing just twice all year. However, he has another favorable matchup this week to keep rolling. The Packers are allowing the seventh most fantasy PPG on DraftKings (27.0) and the eighth most on FanDuel (22.7). Green Bay’s defense has given up at least 69 yards rushing to a running back seven times in 2017.

Stewart’s value goes up significantly when he scores. He’s been finding the end zone in his last three games. Given Stewart’s matchup this week, there’s a strong possibility that trend continues.

Wide Receivers

Marquise Goodwin, San Francisco 49ers ($6,000 DraftKings) ($6,600 FanDuel)

Goodwin makes the cut for the second week in a row after catching 6 of 12 targets for 106 yards against the Texans. He has 14 receptions for 205 yards in two games since Jimmy Garoppolo became the starter. Goodwin has gained at least 78 yards receiving in each of his last four games.

Goodwin will have another favorable matchup when he takes on the Titans. Tennessee’s defense is giving up the 11th most fantasy PPG to wide receivers (DraftKings 34.5, FanDuel 27.5). The Titans have allowed at least five receptions to a wide receiver 14 times this year and 15 touchdowns.

Goodwin has put up at least 17 DK points in three of his last four games. His ownership is projected to be on the high side but given the matchup and reasonable salary, Goodwin is worth eating some chalk this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Dede Westbrook, Jacksonville Jaguars ($5,100 DraftKings) ($5,700 FanDuel)

Westbrook caught 5 of 8 targets for 81 yards and a touchdown versus the Seahawks last week. He has 17 receptions on 27 targets in his last three games.

On Sunday, Westbrook gets to feast on a Texans secondary that’s bleeding fantasy points to receivers. Houston allows the seventh most fantasy PPG to receivers (DraftKings 35.2, FanDuel 8.2). The Texans have allowed at least 90 yards to a receiver in five of their last seven games. A receiver has eclipsed 100 yards four times during that span.

Westbrook has been a factor since coming off injured reserve and as we stated above, Bortles is playing well at quarterback. He’s one of the better bargain plays at both DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 15.

Tight Ends

Benjamin Watson, Baltimore Ravens ($3,800 DraftKings) ($4,900 FanDuel)

There’s a lot of things the 0-13 Browns don’t do well. One of them is defending the tight end position.

Cleveland’s defense is allowing the second most fantasy PPG to tight ends (DraftKings 16.1, FanDuel 12.9). The Browns have allowed at least six receptions to a tight end seven times this year to go along with nine touchdowns. Opposing tight ends are averaging 6.2 receptions per game versus the Browns. That ranks last in the NFL.

The last time Watson faced the Browns he caught eight receptions for 91 yards and scored 17.1 DK points. Those are all season highs. He’s worth considering if you’re looking for a cheaper tight end this week.

Bargain Basement Play

David Njoku, Cleveland Browns ($2,700 DraftKings) ($4,800 FanDuel)

If you’re searching for a dart throw at tight end, Njoku has some upside.

The Ravens have a good pass defense but they struggle to defend tight ends. Last week, Baltimore gave up a combined 14 receptions to Steelers tight ends Jesse James (10/97) and Vance McDonald (4/52). Overall, the Ravens defense is allowing the eighth most fantasy PPG to tight ends on DraftKings (13.1) and the ninth most on FanDuel (10.6). Baltimore has given up 22 receptions to tight ends over its last three games.

Njoku was quiet last week (1/3) but he caught eight passes for 121 yards and a touchdown in his prior two games. When Njoku faced the Ravens in Week 2, he caught three passes for 27 yards and a touchdown. It’s his third best fantasy outing of the season. Njoku is a cheap under-the-radar tight end play this week.

Defense/Special Teams

Tennessee Titans ($3,000 DraftKings) ($4,700 FanDuel)

The Titans defense recorded eight sacks last week versus the Cardinals. It’s the second time in three games that Tennessee has posted eight sacks. They have 20 sacks total over that span. The 49ers offense is better with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback but it’s not a unit to avoid yet. The Titans defense has recorded at least 10 DK points in three straight games. Ride them again this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Miami Dolphins ($2,700 DraftKings) ($4,200 FanDuel)

The Dolphins appear to be vastly undervalued this week. In their last three games, Miami’s defense has scored 7, 28 and 7 DK points. That’s even more impressive when you factor in the two seven-point games were against the Patriots. Over that three-game span, the Dolphins have six sacks, six interceptions, two safeties and two touchdowns. This week Miami faces a Bills team allowing the 14th most fantasy points to team defenses. The Dolphins defense is playing much better over the last month but they’re still a bargain in DFS.

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