Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 16

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 16

DFS

Daily value plays and bargain basements: Week 16

Everyone knows to start studs in DFS. What can bring home the money in is finding players who will produce at a lower salary that might not be on many lineup cards. Each week we’ll release our top DFS value plays and bargain basement plays to help fill out your lineups.

Week 15 Recap (Points are based on DraftKings scoring)

QB
Blake Bortles: 28.0
Joe Flacco: 21.8

RB
Jonathan Stewart: 4.6
Alex Collins: 10.2

WR
Marquise Goodwin: 25.4
Dede Westbrook: 4.1

TE
Benjamin Watson: 17.4
David Njoku: 0.0

D/ST
Titans: 3.0
Dolphins: 2.0

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams ($6,100 DraftKings) ($7,700 FanDuel)

Goff didn’t have to do much last week with Todd Gurley gashing the Seahawks defense for 152 yards and three touchdowns. He threw for 120 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. Goff will be leaned on more this week in a favorable matchup versus the Titans.

Tennessee is allowing the 16th most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season (18.6). Two of the last three quarterbacks (Tom Savage, Jimmy Garoppolo) have thrown for at least 365 yards and a touchdown. The Titans have given up at least 260 yards in five of their last seven games and 10 touchdowns over that span.

Goff has scored 15 or more DraftKings points nine times this year. He’s a bargain this week going up against a fading Titans pass defense.

Bargain Basement Play

Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills ($5,500 DraftKings) ($7,500 FanDuel)

Taylor is coming off a strong performance against the Dolphins where he threw for 224 yards and a touchdown. He also rushed for 42 yards and a score. Taylor isn’t throwing for a ton of yards but his rushing numbers give him a boost. He’s rushed for at least 27 yards in seven of his last eight games. Taylor has scored four rushing touchdowns as well over that span.

This week Taylor has a strong matchup against the Patriots in a game where the Bills could be playing from behind. Buffalo is an 11-point underdog this week. The Patriots are allowing the third most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks (20.5). New England has given up at least 260 yards passing eight times this year.

Taylor had his worst performance of the season the first time these two teams met back in Week 13. However, he’s scored at least 15 DK points in three of his last four games. Taylor is a quality start given his matchup and reasonable salary.

Running Backs

Dion Lewis, New England Patriots ($6,000 DraftKings) ($6,700 FanDuel)

Rex Burkhead is out for the remainder of the regular season with a sprained knee. Burkhead’s absence will allow Lewis to get more carries and feast on the NFL’s worst rush defense.

The Bills are allowing the most fantasy PPG to running backs and give up an NFL-worst 110 yards per game on the ground. Buffalo’s defense has been particularly bad recently, allowing at least 78 yards to four different backs in its last three games.

One of the backs to reach that mark is Lewis. He rushed for 92 yards on 15 carries against the Bills in Week 13. In that same game, Burkhead also gained 78 yards and scored twice on 12 carries. With Burkhead out, Lewis will see a majority of the carries in the best matchup for a running back this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers ($3,700 DraftKings) ($5,900 FanDuel)

We gave out Stewart last week against the Packers. He flopped with just 27 yards on 11 carries. Despite the poor performance, we’re going back to him.

Prior to last week, Stewart had scored five touchdowns in his last three games. He has the matchup to bounce-back from last week’s dud. The Buccaneers allow the sixth most fantasy PPG to running backs (26.5). Tampa Bay’s defense has given up seven rushing touchdowns in its last four games.

Stewart usually needs to score to pay off and up until last week, he’s been finding the end zone. He also scored a touchdown against the Buccaneers in their first meeting. Stewart is a low-priced running back with upside this week.

Wide Receivers

Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams ($5,300 DraftKings) ($6,400 FanDuel)

We mentioned above that the Rams didn’t need much from their passing game last week. With Los Angeles running the ball at will, Kupp caught just 2 of 3 targets for 21 yards.

Expect Kupp to be a much bigger part of the offense on Sunday. The Titans are allowing the ninth most fantasy PPG to receivers (35.4). Tennessee has given up at least five receptions to a receiver 15 times this year and 10 receptions four times, including last week to the 49ers Marquise Goodwin.

Kupp had at least five catches in five straight games until the streak came to an end against the Seahawks. Look for Kupp to get going again when he faces the struggling Titans secondary.

Bargain Basement Play

Keelan Cole, Jacksonville Jaguars ($4,700 DraftKings) ($5,300 FanDuel)

Cole has come out of nowhere to become the Jaguars top receiver during the last three weeks. Over that span, Cole has scored in each game and has at least 99 yards receiving in his last two.

Cole had the best game of his career against the Texans, catching seven passes for 186 yards and a touchdown. Marqise Lee injured his ankle in that game and will miss Week 16.

Cole isn’t likely to replicate last week’s production but he has another favorable matchup versus the 49ers pass defense on Sunday. San Francisco is allowing the 14th most fantasy points to wide receivers (33.6). In their last five games, the 49ers have given up five touchdowns and allowed at least 70 yards to a receiver four times.

In his last three games, Cole has scored 13.9, 18.9 and 34.6 DK points. With Blake Bortles playing well and Lee injured, Cole is one of the better bargains at any position this week.

Tight Ends

Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions ($3,700 DraftKings) ($5,200 FanDuel)

It’s difficult to trust Ebron because he’s let down fantasy owners so many times in the past. However, he’s caught 15 of 18 targets for 127 yards and a touchdown over his last two games.

This week Ebron faces a Bengals defense that’s struggled to stop tight ends this year. Cincinnati has given up the ninth most fantasy PPG to tight ends (8.9). The Bengals have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in each of the last two games and at least four receptions to the position six times.

Ebron has scored at least seven DK points in six straight games and seven of his last eight. He’s put up 18.4 and 14.3 points the last two weeks. Ebron is worth a shot again with his low salary and strong matchup.

Bargain Basement Play

No Play for Week 16.

Defense/Special Teams

Washington Redskins ($3,400 DraftKings) ($4,700 FanDuel)

The Redskins defense has performed well in three of its last four games for fantasy owners. In those three games, Washington has recorded 11 sacks, three interceptions a fumble recovery and scored a touchdown. They’ve put up at least nine DK points in those contests. The Redskins defense should continue to deliver this week when it faces a Broncos offense allowing the second most fantasy points to team defenses (11.8). Washington is one of the top options at defense this week.

Bargain Basement Play

Carolina Panthers ($3,100 DraftKings) ($4,800 FanDuel)

The last time the Panthers defense faced the Buccaneers in Week 8, they recorded two interceptions, one fumble recovery, three sacks and allowed three points. Carolina’s defense has been hot of late. They’ve scored 11, 12 and 17 DK points in three of their last four games. Jameis Winton played well on Monday night versus the Falcons but he’s been a turnover machine this year (8 interceptions, 4 lost fumbles). The Panthers defense is more expensive on FanDuel but on DraftKings, they’re a bargain at $3,100.

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