Weekly warriors: Quarterbacks

Weekly warriors: Quarterbacks

Statistical Analysis

Weekly warriors: Quarterbacks

Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

Total point leagues don’t care when your players score big or small just so long as they all add up to more than anyone else. But in weekly head-to-head play, there’s always a benefit when your players score more than the other starters in the league.

This is just a quick, interesting look at how players scored each week relative to the others in their position. When you start your quarterback, the more often he turns in a Top 10 performance for that week, the more you are likely to win. Below is the percentage of games for each season when a quarterback produced Top 10 fantasy points for that week. The total is the three-year average.

Percentage Top 10 games

Quarterback Average 2017 2016 2015
Aaron Rodgers 62% 86% 69% 31%
Deshaun Watson 57% 57%
Andrew Luck 55% 67% 43%
Tom Brady 54% 50% 50% 63%
Russell Wilson 52% 69% 31% 56%
Ben Roethlisberger 52% 47% 50% 58%
Cam Newton 45% 38% 40% 56%
Philip Rivers 44% 44% 44% 44%
Drew Brees 43% 19% 63% 47%
Matthew Stafford 40% 44% 44% 31%
Kirk Cousins 40% 38% 44% 38%
Matt Ryan 40% 19% 69% 31%
Jameis Winston 39% 54% 38% 25%
Carson Wentz 38% 69% 6%
Dak Prescott 38% 38% 38%
Carson Palmer 37% 29% 40% 44%
Marcus Mariota 36% 20% 53% 33%
Brian Hoyer 35% 20% 50% 36%
Blake Bortles 35% 31% 19% 56%
Derek Carr 33% 20% 40% 38%
Josh McCown 32% 38% 20% 38%
Alex Smith 31% 47% 33% 13%
Tyrod Taylor 30% 27% 27% 36%
Joe Flacco 29% 13% 25% 50%
Andy Dalton 27% 25% 25% 31%
Ryan Fitzpatrick 26% 33% 0% 44%
Eli Manning 25% 20% 13% 44%
Case Keenum 18% 33% 20% 0%
Jared Goff 17% 33% 0%
Trevor Siemian 16% 27% 21% 0%
Jacoby Brissett 13% 25% 0%
Jimmy Garoppolo 11% 33% 0% 0%

This is a reminder of how good Andrew Luck is. There are no major surprises but Ben Roethlisberger and Phillip Rivers show up well. And the drop for Drew Brees is significant and just a little sad. Carson Wentz really came on strong after a slow rookie year.  Aaron Rodgers and Deshaun Watson rate the best though both were unable to finish their seasons.

Total Top 3 Games

Quarterbacks Total 2017 2016 2015
Cam Newton 11 4 1 6
Russell Wilson 10 6 1 3
Kirk Cousins 10 4 2 4
Aaron Rodgers 10 1 7 2
Tom Brady 9 2 4 3
Drew Brees 9 0 5 4
Ben Roethlisberger 8 3 3 2
Matthew Stafford 6 2 2 2
Blake Bortles 6 1 1 4
Philip Rivers 5 2 1 2
Matt Ryan 5 1 4 0
Andrew Luck 5 0 4 1
Carson Wentz 4 4 0 0
Alex Smith 4 2 2 0
Eli Manning 4 1 0 3
Carson Palmer 4 0 0 4
Deshaun Watson 3 3 0 0

Producing more than one game that ranks Top 3 for that week is tough enough and Russell Wilson’s monster 2017 year was significantly better than he had done in this measurement.  Cam Newton, Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson all managed at least three monster games.

Notable too is that Deshaun Watson’s three big games were also the highest scoring quarterback performances in all three weeks. Cam Newton, Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger and Alex Smith were the only quarterbacks with two No. 1 games for a week. Watson only played in seven games so almost half were the highest fantasy score for that week.

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