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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
November 8, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Sunday night
GB at MIN NYJ at NE     Updated

Prediction: WAS 10, PHI 31

The Redskins come off a thrilling if not improbable win over the Cowboys last week but at 3-5 on the season they remain in the AFC East cellar. The Eagles come off their bye week having last lost to the visiting Jaguars that dropped them to 4-4 and two full games behind the leading New York Giants. Philly is only 2-2 at home but the Skins are 1-3 on the road and there are few similarities between the Eagles and the Texans (who they beat). No way the rested Eagles overlook a divisional rival that swept them last year, 31-20 in Philadelphia and earlier 17-10 as the host.

Update: Santana Moss has been practicing for two days since missing last week with his hamstring and while he is listed as questionable and is not 100%, I am adding him back into the projections. I am projecting limited numbers for him but it all depends on his health game day. Brandon Lloyd was held out on Wednesday but returned on Thursday and will play.

Washington Redskins (3-5)
1 16-19 MIN 10 --- @PHI
2 10-27 @DAL 11 --- @TB
3 31-15 @HOU 12 --- CAR
4 36-30 JAX 13 --- ATL
5 3-19 @NYG 14 --- PHI
6 22-25 TEN 15 --- @NO
7 22-36 @IND 16 --- @STL
8 Open Bye 17 --- NYG
9 22-19 DAL - MON SAT
WAS at PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Mark Brunell 0 0 200
RB Clinton Portis 70,1 20 0
RB Ladell Betts 20 10 0
TE Chris Cooley 0 50 0
WR James Thrash 0 20 0
WR Santana Moss 0 40 0
WR Brandon Lloyd 0 30 0
WR Antwaan Randle El 0 20 0
PK Nick Novak 1 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Perhaps the oddest game score in NFL match-ups is 22 points. There are even office pools that award the pot to the person who holds the team that scores 22 points in a game - in some years it takes almost the entire season before any team ends up with 22 points because it is a rare combination to reach that, needing safeties or missed extra points or five field goals. So it is appropriate that the Redskins not only scored 22 points last week, they have now scored 22 points in the last three consecutive games which has to be a record of some sort. That describes the 2006 Redskins - inconsistent, never "standard" and yet able to occasionally pull off the unusual.

Quarterback: While Santana Moss was out last week, Mark Brunell still turned in an average game of 192 yards and one score against the Cowboys. Over the last month he has only four scores in four games and usually ends up just shy of 200 passing yards regardless of the opponent. The win over Dallas last week hushed the whispers about Jason Campbell but that may not be the case this time next week.

Brunell threw for 224 yards and no scores at home against the Eagles last year and later only came up with 141 yards and one score in Philadelphia.

Running Backs: After resting his sore ankle during the bye week, Clinton Portis played against the Cowboys and turned in a respectable 84 yards on 23 carries with one touchdown run. That was his best effort in four weeks and the fifth time in the last seven games that he has scored. Portis only has one game over 100 yards this season which remarkably came against the Jaguars.

Portis ran for 67 yards and one score when the Skins hosted the Eagles last year and had 112 yards and two scores in Philadelphia.

Wide Receivers: With Santana Moss out of the lineup last Sunday, the other wideouts needed to step up but nothing happened. Antwaan Randle El only had two incompletions thrown his way and Brandon Lloyd settled for just two catches for 26 yards. James Thrash took the start to replace Moss and had a team high 56 yards on three catches. Even when Moss is out, the wideouts here haven't done much. Moss is still nursing his hamstring strain and I am counting him out until he is cleared to play. Updates as warranted but even when he returns, chances are he will be limited at first.

Moss caught seven passes for 79 yards against the visiting Eagles in 2005 and later had 83 yards in Philadelphia.

Tight Ends: Chris Cooley has continued his revival this year and has now scored in each of the last three games. Cooley had 85 yards on seven catches against the Eagles at home last year and later only had eight yards on two receptions in Philadelphia.

Match Against the Defense: The Eagles have given up decent games to visiting running backs like Julius Jones (100 yds) and Fred Taylor (103 yds, 1 TD) but both were in much more competitive games than this should be. The Eagles also held Tiki Barber to just 51 yards in Philly. Expect a moderate game here from Portis that would need a long gainer to top 100 yards. He could score once here but no more - if that much.

Brunell is not a gun slinger so when the Eagles rack up points, he'll continue to be the game manager of a losing effort. Without Santana Moss this week, he'll be even less able to keep pace. Cooley goes against a defense that has only allowed one score to a tight end this year and that was on the road - not in Philly. If Brunell does throw a touchdown here. it would favor the wideouts but in four home games so far, only Eli Manning was able to throw a touchdown as a visitor to Philadelphia.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 29 10 24 13 24 31
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 19 17 15 5 21 23


Philadelphia Eagles (4-4)
1 24-10 @HOU 10 --- WAS
2 24-30 NYG 11 --- TEN
3 38-24 @SF 12 --- @IND
4 31-9 GB 13 --- CAR
5 38-24 DAL 14 --- @WAS
6 24-27 @NO 15 --- @NYG
7 21-23 @TB 16 --- @DAL
8 6-13 JAX 17 --- ATL
9 Open Bye - - MON
PHI vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Donovan McNabb 0 0 300,3
RB Brian Westbrook 80,1 70 0
TE L.J. Smith 0 60,1 0
WR Donte Stallworth 0 80,1 0
WR Reggie Brown 0 60,1 0
WR Greg Lewis 0 20 0
PK David Akers 1 FG 4 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Eagles reached their bye week after losing the last three games and the alarms have been set off. Already two games behind the Giants, the Eagles are heading into a tough stretch of the season as soon as two home stands against the Redskins and Titans are finished and they must be wins to give them a chance at post season play. Starting in week 12, the schedule becomes as daunting as any with road games in IND, WAS, NYG and DAL and home match-ups against CAR and ATL. The Eagles hold their fate in their own hands with a big second half of the season, but they've made it tough dropping several surprising games already this year.

Quarterback: After a scorching start to the season, Donovan McNabb finally comes off a bad game when he only had 161 yards and no scores against the Jaguars. He's had a bye week to think about it and get back to the same level of performance that still has him ahead of all other fantasy quarterbacks. There had been no signs of a slow-down for McNabb until the one game against the Jags. His upcoming schedule is a bit tougher than what he has been through with games @IND, CAR, @NYG, @DAL and ATL left to play. What remains to be seen is how he will respond to his brutal road schedule that looms starting in week 12. So far the only games he has played as a visitor has been against HOU, SF, NO and TB.

Running Backs: Brian Westbrook undoubtedly enjoyed resting his knee for the last two weeks but he's had no downturn this year that would suggest his knee has truly been an issue. His rushing yardage varies greatly because it depends on how often he breaks long gainers but his receiving yards and always ensured his fantasy value this season. He has failed to score in only two games this year and only twice had less than 100 total yards in a game.

Wide Receivers: The Eagles enjoyed the first two weeks of Donte Stallworth when he scored in both games and totaled 11 catches for 222 yards. But his hamstring has been a continual issue since and he has missed four games and finally returned in week eight when he had just three catches for 56 yards. If Stallworth can actually play healthy for any stretch, it only serves to make the passing attack even more lethal.

Reggie Brown continues to be the gem in this crew though he only had one catch in the last game played. Otherwise, he has clicked with McNabb every week and scored in five games. The worst fantasy game he had was still 63 yards thanks to his many games with touchdowns. No other wideout has done much here outside of Brown and Stallworth. And when the hammy does bother Donte, it falls to Brown almost exclusively.

Tight Ends: L.J. Smith has enjoyed a career best season so far though he only has two touchdowns on the year - both in away games. But his value as a receiver has seen him not only turn in around 40 yards or better every week, he's doing that mostly with long gaining receptions.

Match Against the Defense: The Redskins rushing defense is about average though they have only allowed three rushing scores this season and just two 100+ yard rushing efforts. Since the Eagles are rested and need this game over a divisional rival, Westbrook should be at his best this week in both rushing and receiving yards. With only the Titans visiting next week, this should be a big win by the Eagles who come off three straight losses and have been focusing on this game for two weeks now.

McNabb goes against a secondary that has always allowed at least 1 score every week and up to four passing touchdowns in a game. After such a bad game in week eight, this will be a bounce back effort from McNabb going against a weak secondary. The return of Shawn Springs last week helped them beat the Cowboys though and he'll match up with Reggie Brown. Still have to like the chances that both Stallworth and Brown score here as well as L.J. Smith since the three scores allowed to tight ends by the Redskins this year have all happened in road games.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 1 7 5 9 23 5
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 27 15 32 26 32 2