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Quarterback Watch Report - Week 12
Scott Boyter
November 21, 2006
Top Ten Fantasy QB’s to own Comment
1 NO Drew Brees No way he doesn’t jump to the top of this list after a 510-yard, two-TD explosion against the Bengals. In his last five games, he’s averaged 376 yards per contest and thrown 12 TD passes. Yes, he’s also thrown 8 picks, but with that kind of production you’ll take a few mistakes. He’s become a must-start no matter the opponent.
2 IND Peyton Manning If it weren’t for the Brees onslaught, Manning would remain No. 1 even with three turnovers. He gets to feast on the Eagle defense this Sunday at home.
3 CIN Carson Palmer Six TDs and more than 700 yards in his last two games have re-established Palmer as an elite fantasy QB. He’s warming up just in time for the fantasy playoff run, much to the chagrin of the guy who puts together this list. But enough digression. Palmer takes on Cleveland’s No. 7 pass D (10 TDs allowed, 13 interceptions), but he’s on too much of a roll to even consider sitting him.
4 NE Tom Brady Brady picks apart another pathetic pass defense, riddling Green Bay for 244 yards and four TDs. But he could just as easily fall back next week because he takes on the Bears at home this Sunday. Chicago ranks No. 1 against the pass, giving up only 7 TDs and nabbing 15 interceptions.
5 STL Marc Bulger Does the loss of Orlando Pace matter that much to St. Louis? Is the Ram offensive line that pathetic without him? Hopefully they’ll get their act together and Bulger can rebound against the passing defense-challenged 49ers, who have surrendered 18 TDs through the air.
6 SD Philip Rivers As of this week we have only three, maybe four or five, truly elite fantasy quarterbacks. Rivers was good against the Broncos, but he’s not quite elite-level yet. Oakland has been good against the pass, so don’t expect massive numbers.
7 DAL Tony Romo There haven’t been too many times a quarterback has looked so good without posting huge numbers. That’s great for Cowboy fans, but lousy for Romo owners. Romo remains a Top 10 fantasy QB due more to attrition than any other reason. But he should still be a good play against a Buc pass D that has given up 16 TDs with only 5 interceptions.
8 SEA Matt Hasselbeck Call it a leap of faith, but Hasselbeck should return against at home against the Packers on Monday Night Football. And we all saw what Tom Brady did to Green Bay in Lambeau. This should be a fantasy feast for owners of Hasselbeck and any other Seahawk receiver.
9 PIT Ben Roethlisberger He’s averaged about 265 yards and has thrown for five TDs in his last two. That relatively average output is good enough for No. 9 on the list, that’s how thin the fantasy QB crop has become. The point is, just because he’s at this slot doesn’t mean you should start him against the Ravens.
10 GB Brett Favre All of a sudden the Packers are once again, officially pathetic, and Favre has a hurt arm. He’ll probably play, but it’s anyone’s guess how effective he can be. Because the Green Bay pass D is so lousy, the Pack will probably employ a lot of Ahman Green against Seattle. Unless you hear differently later this week, Favre is not a good start at all.

(Note – this listing considers the rankings of QB’s if a draft was held today)

Climbing Up The Ladder

Trent Green (KC) – Give him credit for bringing the Chiefs back to victory. Maybe this was the game he needed to get back in the flow of leading the K.C. offense. It’d probably be advisable to hold off on starting him for one more week. In his last four games against the Broncos, Green has thrown for 6 TDs and averaged 218 yards a game.

J.P. Losman (BUF) – We haven’t mentioned Losman a lot this season, but he did throttle the Texans for 340 yards and three TDs. The Bills host the Jaguars this week, so don’t get too excited.

Matt Leinart (ARI) – His numbers weren’t great against the Lions, but he did mix in a rushing TD for the second consecutive week. His matchups are pretty good against the Vikings and Rams, but they’re both on the road.

Sliding Back

Jon Kitna (DET) – He only has two TDs in his last two games and has thrown two picks. Combine that with an average of 257 yards per game, plus the potential loss of RB Kevin Jones to an ankle injury, and the news isn’t good for Kitna owners.

Donovan McNabb (PHI) – McNabb is out the rest of the season with a torn ACL. Early reports indicate he’ll be out at least 8 months and maybe as many as 12, putting his availability for the start of next season in serious jeopardy.

Michael Vick (ATL) – The downturn continues. Another weak game (127 yards, 1 TD, 54 yards rushing) for Vick, who’s killing fantasy owners who thought he was on the verge of exploding the rest of the season. Still, if you don’t have a better option, Vick is worth looking at for his home matchup against the Saints. That game has the potential for being a big-time shootout.