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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
December 20, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
Sunday Late
updated IND at HOU TEN at BUF CIN at DEN NYJ at MIA

Prediction: MIN 13, GB 20

The Packers host their final home game this season and that could be Favre's final game if his annual offseason "I'm thinking, I'm thinking" takes a turn towards retirement. The Packers are only 2-5 at home this year and the Vikings are 3-4 on the road. But the Vikings are only 2-6 in the last eight games and the offense has flown south for the winter. The Packers won 23-17 as the visitor to Minnesota in week 10.

Minnesota Vikings (6-8)
1 19-16 @WAS 10 17-23 GB
2 16-13 CAR 11 20-24 @MIA
3 16-19 CHI 12 31-26 ARZ
4 12-17 @BUF 13 13-23 @CHI
5 26-17 DET 14 30-20 @DET
6 Open Bye 15 13-26 NYJ
7 31-13 @SEA 16 --- @GB
8 7-31 NE 17 --- STL
9 3-9 @SF - MON THU
MIN at GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Tavaris Jackson 40 0 190,1
RB Chester Taylor 70 30 0
TE Jermaine Wiggins 0 10 0
WR Troy Williamson 0 20 0
WR Billy McMullen 0 50,1 0
WR Travis Taylor 0 30 0
PK Ryan Longwell 3 FG 1 XP -
Pregame Notes: Amid the boos and catcalls, the Vikings finally benched Brad Johnson last week and while it still ended up as a loss, at least there was someone new to watch for the home town fans and a sense that the future may not be as bleak as the present. The Vikings have a shot at a .500 season with this game and a home stand against the Rams, but nothing says they can stand up in a road game against a motivated opponent that already won in Minnesota this season.

Quarterback: Tavaris Jackson will be the starter this week and judging by last Sunday, the results may not be stellar but they certainly cannot be any worse. Jackson adds a greatly needed bit of mobility to the quarterback position and ran for 20 yards on three scrambles last week while completing 14 of 23 passes for 177 yards and one score with just one interception. This week he goes against a softer secondary but the first time on grass away from home.

Brad Johnson threw for 257 yards and one score with one interception against the Packers this year. He only had 196 passing yards and no score in Green Bay last year.

Running Backs: Chester Taylor returned after missing one game because of bruised ribs. He only gained 38 yards on 11 carries though and suffered a wrist injury that required X-rays. Taylor has stated that he will play this week but updates will be made if needed. Chester Taylor gained 75 yards on 20 carries and had two catches for 20 yards against the Packers in week ten. He did not score.

Taylor is actually better in most road games where he has scored four of his five touchdowns this year.

Wide Receivers: Troy Williamson finally had a decent game last Sunday when he caught six passes for 74 yards but he suffered a shoulder sprain. Marcus Robinson was a surprise scratch last week and HC Brad Childress said after the game that Robinson is suffering from a previously undisclosed hip flexor. This means that the Vikings could be back to where they were in week ten when the lead receivers were Billy McMullen with 64 yards and a score on three catches and Bethel Johnson with two receptions for 75 yards.

Tight Ends: Playing with Jackson last week only netted Jermaine Wiggins three catches for 21 yards. He had no catches in the previous meeting with the Packers.

Match Against the Defense: The Vikings have struggled in road games and Taylor is not healthy - that limits the best part of this offense. His status will be better known as the week progresses but anything more than a moderate game here is a surprise even if he is healthy.

Jackson is an unknown really and while he had decent results last week, he was at home and now hits the road to Lambeau Field for the first time in his career. The Packers secondary is weaker than most any but is opportunistic and can make a very raw rookie look bad. The Vikes already have injuries all over the offense and that will play into this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 26 11 21 20 23 3
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 31 21 28 19 31 13


Green Bay Packers (6-8)
1 0-26 CHI 10 23-17 @MIN
2 27-34 NO 11 0-35 NE
3 31-24 @DET 12 24-34 @SEA
4 9-31 @PHI 13 10-38 NYJ
5 20-23 STL 14 30-19 @SF
6 Open Bye 15 17-9 DET
7 34-24 @MIA 16 --- MIN
8 31-14 ARZ 17 --- @CHI
9 10-24 @BUF - MON THU
GBP vs MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Brett Favre 0 0 260,2
RB Ahman Green 60 30 0
TE David Martin 0 20 0
WR Donald Driver 0 110,1 0
WR Carlyle Holiday 0 40,1 0
WR Greg Jennings 0 50 0
PK Dave Rayner 2 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: The Packers are on a two game winning streak and this could be the final home game for Brett Favre. He has not announced it as such, but reason says one year he will finally hang up the cleats and stay in Mississippi for the summer. The Packers are no better than they were when the season started with the aging Favre relying solely on Donald Driver and Ahman Green having lost a step even when he is healthy but this last home game is a nice place to send the faithful season ticket holders home for the winter with a win.

Quarterback: Brett Favre did not have any passing scores last week and threw for three interceptions but hey - it was just the visiting Lions so the win was easy enough to lock up. Favre only has 17 touchdown passes on the season against 15 interceptions and only one game over 300 yards since week three. But this is the final home game and Favre threw for 347 yards and two scores in Minnesota this season. He had 227 yards and two scores when the Vikes visited in 2005.

Running Backs: For the last three weeks, Ahman Green has run for at least 77 yards and been a factor in the passing game for a few catches each week. He has scored twice over the last four games while topping 100 total yards in the two home games. Green ran for just 55 yards one 22 carries against the Vikes this year.

Wide Receivers: After scoring for three straight weeks, Donald Driver was denied a touchdown last week and ended with 70 yards on seven catches. But he turned in a mere 191 yards on six catches for one score against the Vikings this year. No other wideout had more than 47 yards in that game. Driver had 84 yards and two scores against the visiting Lions last year. Ruvell Martin was out last week and replaced by Carlyle Holiday who only had three catches for 36 yards - probably more than Martin would have managed. Greg Jennings has been a near non-factor since week five and rarely exceeds 50 yards in a game.

Tight Ends: David Martin finally returned last week after a three game absence but failed to record a catch. The tight ends only combined for 34 yards against the Lions this season.

Match Against the Defense: The Vikings rush defense has been outstanding all year and remains the lone aspect of the team that requires no work in the offseason. Look for a moderate game from Ahman Green who should see a few more passes this week.

Favre will have to win this game and there are plenty of reasons for him to want to have a big game here. He's already torn up the Vikings this season once and this could be his final home game. But Favre has not thrown as well as the season progresses so anything more than 250 yards and a couple of scores will be the product of his extra incentive, not anything he has done recently.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 15 14 14 25 17 10
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 16 2 30 5 30 28