fantasy football     JOIN THE HUDDLE    


Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Player Projections by Team
Game Predictions Summary
The Huddle
December 27, 2006
Season Ticket
Sunday Late
ATL at PHI DET at DAL NE at TEN STL at MIN Sunday Nite
BUF at BAL OAK at NYJ updated GB at CHI

Prediction: NYG 20, WAS 17

The Giants are easily one of the biggest disappointments this year after winning only once in the last seven weeks. After starting 6-2 now the playoffs can only happen with a win here and either a Packer loss or at least a "strength of victory" tiebreaker over the Packers. The Giants can also win so long as the Packers, Rams, Falcons and Panthers all lose. The Giants just need the Bears to not fold their tents this week against the visiting Packers. The Redskins are already out of the playoffs and have nothing left to play for other than beating a hated divisional rival in a home game.

The Redskins lost 3-19 when they visited the Giants back in week five.

Update: Jeremy Shockey has missed practices and is out this week with a sprained ankle. I am removing his projections and adding in Vishante Shiancoe.

New York Giants (7-8)
1 21-26 IND 10 20-38 CHI
2 30-24 @PHI 11 10-26 @JAX
3 30-42 @SEA 12 21-24 @TEN
4 Open Bye 13 20-23 DAL
5 19-3 WAS 14 27-13 @CAR
6 27-14 @ATL 15 22-36 PHI
7 36-22 @DAL 16 7-30 NO
8 17-3 TB 17 --- @WAS
9 14-10 HOU - MON SAT
NYG at WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 0 0 230,2
RB Tiki Barber 60 40,1 0
TE Visanthe Shiancoe 0 20 0
WR David Tyree 0 30 0
WR Plaxico Burress 0 90,1 0
WR Tim Carter 0 40 0
PK Jay Feeley 2 FG 2 XP -
Pregame Notes: The Giants season is swirling down the drain and as of last week nothing much still works on the offense. In the must win game against the Saints, the Giants looked as badly as in any game this year and the much anticipated finale of Tiki Barber in New York ended with a whimper instead of a bang - much like the Giants in general. This team has it all with internal dissension, a wasted season that began so promising and a head coach sitting on a hot seat.

Quarterback: Eli Manning started the season as one of the top fantasy quarterbacks but started to fade about mid-season. Though rarely used, when Amani Toomer left in week nine it matches exactly to when Manning started throwing for just one score per game and suddenly having a problem with interceptions. Manning has 22 scores on the year against 18 interceptions but has tended to look worse when the team needed him most. It may not all be his fault but it's hard to prove that he is not at least equally implicated in the collapse of the team.

Manning threw for 256 yards and one score against the Redskins in week 5.

Running Backs: Just 16 carries for 71 yards and three catches for 12 yards. That was all that Tiki Barber's final home game produced. He has only two touchdowns on the season but has rushed for 1428 yards with 441 more yards coming on 55 catches. It is the ending of a great career for a player supposedly too small for the NFL. Whether the Giants stand pat with Brandon Jacobs next year or bring in another complement remains to be seen, but one thing is sure - they are losing the best back in franchise history.

Barber gained 123 yards on 23 carries against the Skins this year.

Wide Receivers: While Plaxico Burress has only two efforts over 100 yards this season, he has been a scoring machine with a touchdown in ten games - but never more than one. Burress has done most of his damage this year by catching one long pass in each game. The loss of Amani Toomer was never compensated and the rookie Sinorice Moss only has five catches on the year and never more than 11 yards in a game - not that great for a supposed speedster who was supposed to stretch the field.

Burress caught seven passes for 69 yards and one score when the Skins came to New York this year.

Tight Ends: Jeremy Shockey has not enjoyed a monster year by any measure but he has been solid in fantasy terms with seven scores and usually about 60 yards in most games. His two catches last week went for a net three yard loss. It has been that sort of year for the Giants.

Shockey only managed one catch for 13 yards against the Skins this year.

Match Against the Defense: This match-up is tough to call because the Giants are not playing up to potential and are impacted by factors far beyond mere ability. Considering the pattern of the last seven weeks, Barber will not score and turn in just moderate yardage while Manning has two scores for decent yardage with a couple of very damaging interceptions and one overthrow right when it counts most. A win here won't cure what ails but a loss will likely make the same team returning next year impossible. The Redskins pass defense is very weak and has allowed at least two scores to almost every opponent in the last seven weeks.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 19 11 17 9 17 19
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 26 17 32 26 28 3


Washington Redskins (5-10)
1 16-19 MIN 10 3-27 @PHI
2 10-27 @DAL 11 17-20 @TB
3 31-15 @HOU 12 17-13 CAR
4 36-30 JAX 13 14-24 ATL
5 3-19 @NYG 14 19-21 PHI
6 25-22 TEN 15 16-10 @NO
7 22-36 @IND 16 31-37 @STL
8 Open Bye 17 --- NYG
9 22-19 DAL - MON SAT
WAS vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Jason Campbell 0 0 180,2
RB Ladell Betts 90 10 0
TE Chris Cooley 0 50,1 0
WR Santana Moss 0 60,1 0
WR Brandon Lloyd 0 20 0
WR Antwaan Randle El 0 20 0
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 2 XP -

Pregame Notes: Since the change to Jason Campbell in week 11, the Skins have gone 2-4 but have been competitive in every game. The rushing game has never looked as good as when Portis left and Betts took over but the defense has been consistently good but rarely quite good enough. The year is ending without Brunell or Portis and Moss has done little to show that 2005 wasn't a fluke. But the Skins have been sticking together and playing most teams almost even. It's the "almost" that got them to 5-10 on the season.

Quarterback: Jason Campbell has thrown for at least one score in every game as a starter but the last four weeks have only seen one touchdown each while the passing yardage has never gone much higher than around 200 yards. Campbell hasn't set the world on fire as a starter but he's been plenty good enough to merit some promise for 2007.

Brunell was the starter in week five when the Redskins went to New York and only completed 12 of 22 for 109 yards and no scores.

Running Backs: Now what are the Skins going to do? Clinton Portis was scoring well in the games he played this year and has seven touchdowns in seven full games played but he only had one effort exceed 100 rushing yards. Ladell Betts has topped that mark in each of his last five games but only has four scores on the season. But Portis is hardly the "short yardage, goal line" sort of runner so next year could be very interesting to see how the team mixes these two runners. Portis has been great in the past but there is no denying the success that Betts has had the last month. He's won several teams fantasy championships this year after being the greatest free agent pick in week 12. This is exactly why you should back-up that first round running back.

Portis ran 19 times for 76 yards and no scores against the Giants earlier this year.

Wide Receivers: This unit has been largely ineffective this year regardless of which quarterback was starting. No consistency and the only efforts over 100 yards came by Santana Moss with just two. Moss only scored in three games this season and has remained under 40 yards in seven of the last eight games.

Moss only had 39 yards on three catches to lead the wideouts in week five against the Giants.

Tight Ends: The best receiver on the team has clearly been Chris Cooley with six touchdowns and consistency unmatched by any other player. Cooley has topped 50 yards in five of the last eight games.

Cooley had four receptions for 41 yards against the Giants this year.

Match Against the Defense: The Giants rush defense has been strangely solid on the road this year but Betts has been on fire. Expect a good game here for yardage but likely no score.

Campbell is not yet good enough to take advantage of a weak secondary but this should be the best chance that Moss has had to score a touchdown. Cooley is the man but Moss will need to matter this week - and should.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM    QB   RB   WR   TE   PK  DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 31 13 26 11 24 32
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 32 12 19 23 18 12