The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen – facing each defense either home or away.
To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.
Three different views are given below – Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule – “draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks”.
This analysis considers both tight ends and wide receivers awarded 0.1 points per received yard and six point touchdowns along with one point per reception.
Jets – Adding in reception points doesn’t change the fact that the Jets have one of the worst passing offenses and yet the best schedule for receivers. This still looks like a colossal waste unless the Jets bring in new players. Make that new and better players.
Cowboys – Dez Bryant still looks like a decent bet this year with a schedule better than he has faced in his entire career. He seems to have “gotten it” and now the Schedule Gods have smiled. And Jason Witten’s value with reception points look just as good as last year.
Chiefs – This could be interesting. Maybe Alex Smith is better than we think. Maybe Dwayne Bowe just needed a quarterback who wasn’t a product of one lucky year in the Patriots system. At least they both get a schedule that offers up seven matchups against one of the 20 best matchups from last year.
Bills – Like the non-reception point version, it looks uphill for the new offense and new quarterback in Buffalo. Steve Johnson’s best quality is that there doesn’t appear anyone else worth throwing the ball to this year. And maybe defenses might realize that as well.
Titans – Still looks bad for Kenny Britt even with reception points and Kendall Wright was already being limited by the apparent need for Jake Locker to concentrate on Britt.
Week – By – Week