Better Than Average (BTA) was developed to show which players were truly better than their peers when the advantage of the schedule was removed. . This is a true 1:1 measurement because it only considers how well players did against all others who faced a particular defense. It counts up three occurrences:
“8” – When a RB produced one of the top 8 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.
“4” – When a RB scored in the top 4 game performances for fantasy points allowed by a defense.
“1” – Who had the best fantasy game against a defense over the past year. There could only by 32 such events since each defense can only allow one “best game”.
BTA – Simply adding up the 1, 4 and 8 values for a numerical expression of how effective a running back truly was last year against all other players in his position. The strength of schedule doesn’t matter. Only what a player produced against all other players in that position against that defense. It is a measurement of player ability against the others in his position.
|Multiple “Best Games”|
The days of stud running backs are about over and while Jamaal Charles and LeSean McCoy scored more fantasy points than any other and they do appear at the top of these lists, the diference between them and the rest was not that profound. Knowshon Moreno actually ended as the only back who scored more fantasy points on defenses than they had allowed to any other running back last year.
Newcomers Eddie Lacy and Zac Stacy both rated well and considering that Stacy did not play much to start the year makes his accomplishment more impressive and bodes better for him this year. Lacy joined Charles, McCoy, Marshawn Lynch and Matt Forte as the only runners who spent the majority of their games outperforming the average back from other teams – meaning they had more than eight games as a top 8 runner against a defense.
Notable too were Joique Bell, Donald Brown and Rashad Jennings who showed up so well despite not being the #1 back to start the year.
|Jamaal Charles||22||2||9||11||Giovani Bernard||7||0||2||5||Lamar Miller||4||0||1||3|
|LeSean McCoy||20||2||7||11||Maurice Jones-Drew||7||0||2||5||Matt Asiata||4||1||1||2|
|Marshawn Lynch||19||2||6||11||Rashad Jennings||7||1||3||3||Pierre Thomas||4||0||1||3|
|Matt Forte||19||2||7||10||Stevan Ridley||7||1||2||4||Ray Rice||4||0||1||3|
|Chris Johnson||14||2||6||6||Alfred Morris||6||0||2||4||Shonn Greene||4||0||1||3|
|Zac Stacy||14||2||5||7||Andre Ellington||6||0||2||4||Steven Jackson||4||0||1||3|
|Adrian Peterson||13||2||4||7||Arian Foster||6||1||2||3||Ahmad Bradshaw||3||0||1||2|
|Knowshon Moreno||13||3||3||7||C.J. Spiller||6||0||2||4||Brandon Bolden||3||0||0||3|
|Eddie Lacy||12||0||3||9||DeAngelo Williams||6||1||1||4||Chris Ivory||3||0||1||2|
|Frank Gore||12||0||4||8||Rashard Mendenhall||6||0||1||5||Chris Ogbonnaya||3||0||0||3|
|Fred Jackson||12||0||4||8||Bobby Rainey||5||1||2||2||Darrel Young||3||0||1||2|
|Reggie Bush||12||1||5||6||Danny Woodhead||5||0||1||4||Darren McFadden||3||0||1||2|
|Ryan Mathews||12||1||3||8||Jacquizz Rodgers||5||1||2||2||Jason Snelling||3||0||1||2|
|Le’Veon Bell||11||1||3||7||LeGarrette Blount||5||1||2||2||Johnathan Franklin||3||1||1||1|
|DeMarco Murray||10||0||4||6||Shane Vereen||5||1||1||3||Roy Helu||3||0||1||2|
|Joique Bell||9||0||3||6||BenJarvus Green-Ellis||4||0||1||3|
|Donald Brown||7||1||2||4||Darren Sproles||4||1||1||2|