Fantasy Football Pre-Season Preview: Quarterbacks

Fantasy Football Pre-Season Preview: Quarterbacks

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Fantasy Football Pre-Season Preview: Quarterbacks

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OTHER POSITIONS:  Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  Receivers

We’re now a couple seasons removed from the Great Rookie Quarterback Influx of 2012, but that doesn’t mean the position’s productivity has slowed. In fact, it’s hard to find a team without a quarterback who puts up what used to be considered good fantasy numbers, to the point that you can wait and wait and wait and still snag a reasonably productive fantasy QB. Here’s a breakdown of the position’s productivity over the past few years, as well as each team’s performance over that span–and what’s in store for the upcoming campaign.

Position Totals by Year

Year Passes Comps Pass Yards YPC Pass TD Int Runs Rush Yards Rush TD
2005 16,433 9,776 111,478 11.4 639 507 1,384 4,564 44
2006 16,350 9,786 112,038 11.4 643 516 1,425 5,221 44
2007 17,023 10,414 116,615 11.2 715 534 1,305 4,001 40
2008 16,486 10,060 114,456 11.4 638 463 1,316 4,435 48
2009 16,992 10,356 118,600 11.5 703 517 1,336 4,292 45
2010 17,236 10,476 120,755 11.5 746 510 1,420 5,659 46
2011 17,357 10,437 124,886 12.0 741 503 1,571 6,075 66
2012 17,766 10,823 125,687 11.6 753 466 1,587 6,577 66
2013 18,110 11,088 128,953 11.6 799 501 1,707 7,737 57

More, more, more… 2013 quarterbacks were all about the Andrea True Connection (ask your parents) as they established 10-year highs in rushing attempts and yardage as well as passing attempts, completions, yardage and touchdowns. Rushing touchdowns dipped from the two-season peak but still remained well above previous levels, suggesting quarterbacks were being reined in a little—but not so much as to blow previous positional marks in both attempts and yards out of the water. In short, the league is getting exactly what it wants: more offense, beginning at the top with the quarterback position.

Top Ten Quarterback Totals

Year Passes Comps Pass Yards Pass TD Runs Rush Yards Rush TD FF Pts
2004 5,169 3,261 41,259 302 401 1,388 14 3,192
2005 4,999 3,098 36,432 233 370 1,223 13 2,721
2006 5,161 3,118 36,985 222 451 2,123 18 2,474
2007 5,319 3,434 40,090 315 287 674 14 3,416
2008 5,490 3,505 40,904 263 417 1,289 13 3,305
2009 5,356 3,554 43,778 294 303 746 12 3,219
2010 5,487 3,547 40,917 290 392 1,399 14 3,431
2011 5,750 3,669 45,839 334 430 1,519 32 3,972
2012 5,937 3,753 44,990 295 522 2,427 33 3,741
2013 5,939 3,812 43,950 313 451 1,699 20 3,738

Being a top 10 fantasy quarterback in 2013 was all about volume, as no group of top-10 QBs had ever thrown (or completed) as many passes as last season. Rushing productivity was down a bit, supporting the theory espoused above that the more productive teams weren’t turning lose their valuable QBs on the ground. And the fact that the top 10 totals were for the most part on par with previous seasons despite overall high-water marks suggests that more than just the top 10 QBs are putting up helpful fantasy numbers… which is why waiting on a quarterback on fantasy draft day is so en vogue.

Arizona Cardinals

Year Pass Rank Comp Rank Passing Yards Rank TDs Rank Int Rank
2011 550 15 307 21 3,954 15 21 15 23 27
2012 608 9 337 14 3,383 27 11 31 21 32
2013 572 17 362 15 4,274 12 24 15 22 28

(Improving) Carson Palmer actually threw less than his predecessors, but more accurately and efficiently and productively. Bottom line, the Arizona passing game moved from bottom of the barrel to middle of the pack. Another big jump isn’t likely, but with quality targets and another season of Palmer there’s nothing wrong with the status quo here.

Atlanta Falcons

Year Pass Rank Comp Rank Passing Yards Rank TDs Rank Int Rank
2011 593 4 365 7 4,365 8 29 7 13 9
2012 615 8 422 4 4,719 5 32 5 14 13
2013 658 3 444 3 4,549 4 26 11 17 19

Matt Ryan’s productivity remained stable despite Julio Jones’ injury issues. Now Jones returns, though Ryan will have to adjust to not having the security blanket of Tony Gonzalez around. While Ryan remains outside the velvet ropes of the elite quarterbacks, he’s at least on the list to get into the club and mingle with the party people.

Baltimore Ravens

Year Pass Rank Comp Rank Passing Yards Rank TDs Rank Int Rank
2011 543 18 313 17 3,628 19 20 18 12 5
2012 560 15 334 15 3,996 14 22 20 11 6
2013 619 8 363 13 3,914 19 19 26 23 31

The falloff of Baltimore’s ground game forced Joe Flacco to throw more, but the results weren’t necessarily positive; in fact, passing yards and TDs declined while interceptions more than doubled. That’s probably not what the Ravens were looking for when they gave Flacco $120 million last season, and now he’ll be working in a different sort of offense that may not play to Flacco’s big arm. Few if any are buying Flacco as anything more than fantasy filler, and there’s little to suggest that’s the wrong approach.

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Buffalo Bills

Year Pass Rank Comp Rank Passing Yards Rank TDs Rank Int Rank
2011 577 10 356 10 3,857 16 24 10 24 29
2012 510 23 309 23 3,430 25 24 15 16 18
2013 522 24 299 26 3,373 28 16 30 15 16

(Improving) (Camp Watch)

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