Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYG vs DET

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYG vs DET

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Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYG vs DET

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Prediction: NYG 13, DET 31 (Line: DET by 5)

The Giants come off a 7-9 season that was a disaster by any measure but only the offensive coordinator Kevin Bilberries lost his job. The Giants finished with a 3-5 road record and yet won 23-20 in Detroit during week 16 last year. The Lions were only 7-9 as well and dropped their final four games. That brought about a change in all coaches but at home this week should take the Giants down as they should have last year.

New York Giants

1 @DET —– 10 @SEA —–
2 ARI —– 11 SF —–
3 HOU —– 12 DAL —–
4 @WAS —– 13 @JAC —–
5 ATL —– 14 @TEN —–
6 @PHI —– 15 WAS —–
7 @DAL —– 16 @STL —–
8 BYE —– 17 PHI —–
9 IND —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 230,1
RB Rashad Jennings 50 3-20
RB Shane Vereen 40 6-40
WR Victor Cruz 6-80,1
WR Hakeem Nicks 2-40
PK Josh Brown 2 FG 1 XP

The Giants made several free agent moves in the offseason and most notable was adding Rashad Jennings as the starting tailback. Losing Hakeem Nicks may leave a hole but the concerning part is that the Giants struggled all summer to install Ben McAdoo’s Packer-ish offense. This is the first time in eight years that the Giants have to learn a new offense and it is just not going well. The offense looked stale and unimaginative last year. Now it just looks lost and confused.

Eli Manning comes off his worst season in six years and it was a career high 27 interceptions that plagued him most. Manning passed for 3818 yards and just 18 touchdowns for his lowest total since his 2004 rookie season when he wasn’t a starter. Manning is 33 but should have several good years left but for reasons unexplained he has just not been the same for going on two years now. And so goes Manning, so goes the Giants. Manning passed for 256 yards and one score in Detroit last year.

The rushing offense was one of the worst last year and no runner gained over 500 yards or scored more than four times. Six different backs ran 20 times or more though none more than the 139 turned in by Andre Brown. The Giants cleaned house and brought in Rashad Jennings who spent three years as Maurice Jones-Drew back-up in Jacksonville and then one year in Oakland where he turned in four good games that converted into a starting gig with the Giants. Over four years, he has rushed over 20 carries in only four games. He’s hardly a proven commodity.

The Giants also drafted Andre Williams who was impressive in preseason play. For now the job is securely with Jennings but the rookie could gain more playing time as the season progresses. The Giants ran for a total of only 42 yards on 19 carries in Detroit last time.

Hakeem Nicks left and Rueben Randle takes his place. The third-year player had a few moments of promise so far but is no lock to remain the #2. Odell Beckham was the 1.12 pick by the Giants but he has been slowly coming along and currently suffers from a hamstring injury that should keep him out the next couple of weeks if not more.

The tight end spot no longer garners any fantasy attention. Daniel Fells, Adrien Robinson and Larry Donell are all names you need not commit to memory. The days of Jeremy Shockey are long gone and never replaced.

This offense needs to come together quickly. 2013 was depressing with how poorly they played and so far improvement has not been seen. That affects the fantasy value of all Giants.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Hard to guage with the struggles of the offense to learn a new system. On the road no less. The Lions were tough against all visiting runners last year and after week four no running back scored or gained more than 56 yards there. Bad sign for Jennings. The secondary is less formidable and Manning threw for 256 yards in the last meeting. But the only player with a reasonable fantasy start is Victor Cruz and even he’ll be a risky play.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 30 28 11 30 27 24
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 15 6 30 1 31 18

Detroit Lions

1 NYG —– 10 MIA —–
2 @CAR —– 11 @ARI —–
3 GB —– 12 @NE —–
4 @NYJ —– 13 CHI —–
5 BUF —– 14 TB —–
6 @MIN —– 15 MIN —–
7 NO —– 16 @CHI —–
8 @ATL —– 17 @GB —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Stats | Roster
DET vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 310,3
RB Stevan Ridley 30,1
WR Jeremy Kerley 4-60
WR Lance Moore
WR Golden Tate 4-70
TE Eric Ebron 2-20

The Lions hired Jim Caldwell as the new headcoach and Joe Lombardi was the Saints QB coach who will be installing the
new offense. On paper using a Saints passing scheme in Detroit sounds like a winner and especially for fantasy football. And the personnel is there.

Matt Stafford comes off a 4650 yard season which is less than the two previous years but he added 29 touchdowns as well plus two more as a runner. He accomplished that mostly with Calvin Johnson but the Lions brought in Golden Tate in yet another attempt to find a #2 wideout that can hurt defenses who focus too much on Megatron. Tate was the lead receiver in Seattle and a deep threat who brings a new aspect to the passing scheme. The team also drafted Eric Ebron with their 1.10 pick to provide firepower from the tight end position. That pushes Brandon Pettigrew into more of a blocking role since the 6-4, 250 lb rookie is another wide receiver talent in a tight end body. Tate is already showing signs of chemistry with Stafford but Ebron will be a project probably until 2015.

Reggie Bush switched teams in 2013 and finished his first term in Detroit with a career best 1512 total yards and his 54 catches were more than any season since 2007. Better yet – he was thrown over 70 passes his first two years and the new coaching staff want to see him return to more of that role while Joique Bell does most of the rushing. Bell ran for 91 yards and a score on the Giants while adding 10 catches for 63 yards. Bush was held to only 44 total yards in that game.

Stafford passed for 222 yards and no scores on the Giants last year. Johnson was limited to only 43 yards on three catches versus the Giants in 2013. This was late year when he was injured.

This should be an exciting season for the Lions offense that should be even more prolific once the offense is installed and running to form. The backfield will be split but productive enough to merit fantasy start for both Bush and Bell. A new scheme should help pass better and Tate is there to provide a new weapon. How this all comes together will be fascinating because the potential for major points is here.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Giants held the Lions to no passing scores last year but it was more of a trap game and the Lions had injuries at the time. Consider Stafford, Johnson, Bush and Bell as every week starters with Tate a risky start until he shows he too can provide the points. There is nothing special about the Giants defense and on the road should be ripe for a better showing by the Lions this time.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 6 4 9 14 29 19
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 11 15 4 16 20 32

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