Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs GB

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs GB

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Game Predictions & Player Projections - NYJ vs GB

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Prediction: NYJ 17, GB 27 (Line: GB by 8)

The Jets outlasted the Raiders in a close game but were only 2-6 on the road last year and facing a Packers crew that are still smarting from being spanked in Seattle in the season opener. This looks like a nice afternoon for the Packers receivers and the Jets rushers.

New York Jets

1 OAK 19-14 10 PIT —–
2 @GB —– 11 BYE —–
3 CHI —– 12 @BUF —–
4 DET —– 13 MIA —–
5 @SD —– 14 @MIN —–
6 DEN —– 15 @TEN —–
7 @NE —– 16 NE —–
8 BUF —– 17 @MIA —–
9 @KC —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ @ GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Geno Smith 40 230,1
RB Matt Forte 80 7-60
RB Khiry Robinson 30
RB Zac Stacy 70 1-10
WR Eric Decker 6-70,1
WR Brandon Marshall 6-70,1
WR Kenbrell Thompkins 4-50
PK Randy Bullock 1 FG 2 XP
PK Nick Folk 1 FG 2 XP

Bit of a surprise that the Jets would bother with 28 passes last week when 23 rushes netted 170 yards. The first game out was a soft match-up but the first game out saw success in the areas that needed it.The next five games all go against better than average offenses and this when the secondary will either rise to the occasion or fail as badly as was feared. The downside to having a tremendous defensive line is that it invites everyone to throw farther down the field.

QUARTERBACK : First game out of the gate and Geno Smith looked solid. He completed 23 of 28 for 221 yards and one score with one score while adding ten runs for 38 more yards. This offense is never going to survive purely on the pass but so far the total rushing effort helps control games and slow down the clock. And Smith’s rushing production starts to make him fantasy relevant.

RUNNING BACK : A weak Raiders defense made this unit look great. Chris Johnson rushed for 68 yards on 13 runs and added five catches for 23 yards and one touchdown. He ran very well once he broke the line and his additional work as a receiver will help prop up his fantasy value even in a bad game. Chris Ivory popped a 71-yard rushing touchdown in the fourth quarter to help secure the win but only gained 33 yards on nine other runs and never was thrown any passes. Ivory does figure into this committee but only as a second player off the bench. Johnson looked very promising on his new team.

WIDE RECEIVER : The passing yardage wasn’t that much but at least Eric Decker made good on his new role as the #1 wideout. He ended with 74 yards on five receptions to lead the team while no other wide receiver gained more than 38 yards. He remains the only Jets wideout worthy of a fantasy start or even owning.

TIGHT END : Jeff Cumberland (4-50) was better than usual but still not good enough to merit any fantasy consideration.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Packers rushing defense was bad last week in Seattle but will be at home and should play better. The Packers are only average anyway at stopping opponents so consider Chris Johnson and Eric Decker as the main fantasy players this week (or any). Chris Ivory is a risky start even with his 71-yard touchdown last week. The season is still young and no one else yet merits fantasy consideration here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 25 5 30 20 16 26
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 18 31 17 9 8 20

Green Bay Packers

1 @SEA 16-36 10 CHI —–
2 NYJ —– 11 PHI —–
3 @DET —– 12 @MIN —–
4 @CHI —– 13 NE —–
5 MIN —– 14 ATL —–
6 @MIA —– 15 @BUF —–
7 CAR —– 16 @TB —–
8 @NO —– 17 DET —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 280,3
RB Eddie Lacy 50 2-10
WR Randall Cobb 6-70,1
WR James Jones 3-30
WR Jordy Nelson 6-90,2
TE Jared Cook 5-70,1
TE Andrew Quarless 3-30
PK Mason Crosby 2 FG 3 XP

Starting the year against the Seahawks in Seattle is predictably bad and the Packers looked maybe worse than most expected. You cannot take away too much from that game other than playing in Seattle is an automatic “L” this year and that their defense is maybe even better. The Packers have all players back from an injury-riddled 2013 and have to ask for a Mulligan after the opening loss. This game will fare much better.

QUARTERBACK : Aaron Rodgers was held to only 189 yards and one score in Seattle but that’s likely to be a season low. He never ran either and his reduced rushing since Eddie Lacy arrived as dinged his fantasy value.

RUNNING BACK : Eddie Lacy not only was held to 34 yards on 12 carries but he left the Seattle game with a concussion. James Starks (7-37) looked good in his minimal work and of course John Kuhn was given the one short touchdown run. There is optimism that Lacy can play this week and he has already passed the first step of the concussion protocol by Tuesday. I will assume he can play and later update as warranted. Starks would share with DuJuan Harris if Lacy cannot play.

WIDE RECEIVER : Not much to glean from playing the Seahawks but Randall Cobb (6-58, TD) and Jordy Nelson (9-83) were still the primary targets regardless how good the Seattle secondary was. No other receiver had more than 26 yards and no other wideouts had even one target. Great news for Cobb and Nelson, much less so for Jarrett Boykin.

TIGHT END : Andrew Quarless (3-26) was the only tight end with a catch but the Packers are using more passes to running backs now. No fantasy value here.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets have a great defensive line and they held the Raiders to only 26 yards on 15 carries. That doesn’t bode well for Lacy if he can even play. But even Derek Carr passed for two scores on them with no turnovers so all the usual starts apply – Rodgers, Cobb and Nelson. Lacy will be a moderate play if he can go and if not, Starks and Harris sharing against this defense makes both unappealing.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 28 20 19 28 25 22
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 6 1 14 8 2 18

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