Game Predictions & Player Projections - STL vs TB

Game Predictions & Player Projections - STL vs TB


Game Predictions & Player Projections - STL vs TB


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Prediction: STL 13, TB 20 (Line: TB by 4)

UPDATE: Austin Seferian-Jenkins is out this week with a sprained ankle. Doug Martin is questionable and could only do limited work on Thursday and Friday because of his knee. Martin could end up to be a game time decision and plays in the later afternoon game. I am lowering his projections and realize that he may not play.

Both teams lost home games last week but the Buccaneers were at least competitive. There is no way to sugarcoat it – the Rams start the season looking 0-16 bad and losing quarterbacks is not making it any better. The Rams won 23-13 when the Buccaneers visited in week 16 of last year.

St. Louis Rams

1 MIN 6-34 10 @ARI —–
2 @TB —– 11 DEN —–
3 DAL —– 12 @SD —–
4 BYE —– 13 OAK —–
5 @PHI —– 14 @WAS —–
6 SF —– 15 ARI —–
7 SEA —– 16 NYG —–
8 @KC —– 17 @SEA —–
9 @SF —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

The Rams not only lost ugly to the Vikings, but the vaunted defense was largely a no-show. Granted the offense did them no favors but giving up 34 points in a home opener to the Vikings sends a sobering message. In fantasy terms, this team has never been much more than the running back for many years and there’s no reason so far to expect that to change.

QUARTERBACK : Shaun Hill strained his quad in the Vikings game and may not play again this week. The Rams are down to using Austin Davis again but all they got out of him last week was 192 yards and one interception along with four sacks. All this against the Vikings defense. Quarterback has long been considered the problem for the Rams and this year looks like a step down.

RUNNING BACK : While Zac Stacy remains the primary back, he only ran 11 times for 43 yards last week and caught just one pass. Benny Cunningham (5-21) does figure in and more so as a receiver with four catches for 30 yards. Until the Rams can create a reason why the defense respects the pass, Stacy will be shorted on carries every week and ruin his potential fantasy value.

Stacy ran for 104 yards and one score on 33 carries against the Bucs last year. That is not likely to repeat.

WIDE RECEIVER : With a second change in quarterback, the results from week one are pretty meaningless though until stability is found that will be the challenge every game. Brian Quick ended with a team high seven catches for 99 yards while Kenny Britt failed to catch any of his five passes. Tavon Austin’s sophomore year started out with only three reception for 34 yards and three runs for five yards so no improvement is a happening yet. The lack of consistency means none of these players merit any fantasy starts.

TIGHT END : Jared Cook was decent enough catching four passes for 56 yards but a total of 12 passes were thrown to the position and only eight went towards Cook. This problem at quarterback could be to Cook’s advantage since he’s a big target usually closer to the pocket but no reason to expect it will make Cook worthy of a fantasy start so far.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Buccaneers always play better at home and they held the Panthers to 230 yards and two scores albeit against the Panthers. More notable was their preventing any rushing touchdowns and holding their running backs to a total of 30 runs for only 103 yards. The Rams are no road warrior in the past and that was with a better quarterback. Stacy is worth a start here but no other Rams player has much upside until we see improvement. Cook is mildly interesting if only because the Rams gave up 83 yards and a score to Greg Olsen last week.

Gaining Fantasy Points STL 31 29 22 19 20 31
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 22 7 13 28 13 26

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1 CAR 14-20 10 ATL —–
2 STL —– 11 @WAS —–
3 @ATL —– 12 @CHI —–
4 @PIT —– 13 CIN —–
5 @NO —– 14 @DET —–
6 BAL —– 15 @CAR —–
7 BYE —– 16 GB —–
8 MIN —– 17 NO —–
9 @CLE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

The Buccaneers lost their first game of the Lovie Smith era but they were facing a very good defense in the Panthers. Smith brings in much defensive focus but it is evident that even he cannot run around one of the worst defenses in the matter of a few games. This week needs to be a win with a brutal three game road stretch ahead before finally hosting the Ravens before the bye.

QUARTERBACK : Josh McCown still looks like the journeyman quarterback hopping from team to team. He passed for 183 yards and two scores but also two interceptions and three sacks. He’ll grow into the role as the season progresses, but it probably won’t be too much growth.

RUNNING BACK : This is an area that needs attention this week. No arguing that last week the Panthers brought a great defense to town. But Doug Martin was held to only nine yards on nine carries and Bobby Rainey rushed four times for 12 yards and added a short touchdown catch. Martin injured his lower left leg when someone rolled up on it and his status for this week won’t be certain until later in the week. Bobby Rainey would take his place if needed but once again they face a tough rushing defense. I will assume Martin can play and update as warranted.

WIDE RECEIVER : The receivers will be limited by the quarterback play but apparently both starters are view equally already. Vincent Jackson (4-36) and Mike Evans (5-37) both received a team high nine targets while slot player Chris Owusu scored on his two catches for 20 yards. This will become a great tandem if only when they face weak secondaries but for now they are limited learning a new scheme with a questionable quarterback situation.

Jackson caught five passes for 98 yards against the Rams last year.

TIGHT END : The Bucs traded away Tim Wright but have nothing else they immediately turn to. Austin Seferian-Jenkins just just one 26-yard catch but was still encouraging since the 6-5 rookie tight end showed nice speed on his only reception. Far too early to expect much but some future promise to be sure.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Rams defense wasn’t horrible last week so much as saddled with always bailing out the offense. Adrian Peterson was held to only 75 yards on 21 runs so limit expectations of Martin again this week assuming he can play. The Rams gave up a couple of big plays last week but held all receivers below 60 yards. Then again, they are on the road. Jackson is a must start each week and at home, Evans is a moderate play if only because he is so big and the run may not go well and force passing.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 16 22 26 18 31 27
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 14 5 29 20 10 32

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