Game Predictions & Player Projections - ATL vs MIN

Game Predictions & Player Projections - ATL vs MIN


Game Predictions & Player Projections - ATL vs MIN


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Prediction: ATL 27, MIN 17 (Line: ATL by 3)

Update: Roddy White is probable to play after limited work this week and a full day on Friday. He is safe to start.

The 2-1 Falcons lost their only other road game but the offense just blasted the Buccaneers with 56 points and could have scored more. The Vikings without Adrian Peterson are an entirely new team and not a better one. And now with a rookie quarterback as the starter, Minnesotans are already looking forward to 2015 because this season is quickly slipping away.

Atlanta Falcons

1 NO 37-34 10 @TB —–
2 @CIN 10-24 11 @CAR —–
3 TB 56-14 12 CLE —–
4 @MIN —– 13 ARI —–
5 @NYG —– 14 @GB —–
6 CHI —– 15 PIT —–
7 @BAL —– 16 @NO —–
8 DET —– 17 CAR —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
ATL @ MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan 260,2
WR Julio Jones 7-90,1
WR Eric Weems 4-50
TE Levine Toilolo 2-20
PK Matt Bryant 2 FG 3 XP

Aside from the buzz saw in Cincinnati, the Falcons are playing very well on offense and that’s without much of a rushing effort so far. The passing offense has been very productive and already puts the team 2-0 up on their own division. They are picking up where they left off in 2012 and getting the job done even without Tony Gonzalez. The next four weeks holds three road games and that should help prepare them for what will be a far tougher second half of the year.REVERT

QUARTERBACK : So long as he stays home, Matt Ryan throws three touchdowns and plenty of yards. He was held to only 231 yards and one score in Cincinnati and his three interceptions were his only of the year. The Falcons have long been far better at home than on the road but this week facing a weaker Vikings team should improve their away record.

RUNNING BACK : Steven Jackson scored last week but still remains under 60 yards in every game and has yet to run more than 14 times in any game. Devonta Freeman finally had a chance for some success last week when the Falcons gave him 11 carries in the Buccaneers blowout but he only gained 12 yards on 11 carries. That will set his development back significantly. Jacquizz Rodgers is nothing special but he has a firm grip on the #2 role here. Antone Smith rarely plays and yet he has the running back lead with two touchdowns.

WIDE RECEIVER : Harry Douglas injured his left foot but an MRI was negative and he missed any real injury. His status will be updated later in the week but until word is given I will assume he misses this game and that Eric Weems’ will take his place. Unfortunately the Falcons are also liking Devin Hester and his playing time as a receiver only serves to water down the targets for the other wideouts. He rarely catches more than one pass but has scored once. Roddy White was held out last week with a hamstring strain and did not practice early week. I will consider him out as well until he is cleared to play. So far Julio Jones has been on fire every week and already scored three times and caught 23 passes for 365 yards and a #1 ranking among wideouts.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value from Levine Toilolo.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Vikings were badly beaten in the last two games and as such their opponents did not need to throw much, Drew Brees passes for 293 yards and two scores in New Orleans. Playing on the road has been a source of lower stats from Ryan historically. The Vikings are weaker against the run since most teams get well over 20 carries against them just trying to end the game. The Vikes will be dealing with no Peterson and a new rookie quarterback. Ryan and Jones are must starts regardless and even Jackson could manage his new normal of 50 yards and a score here.

Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 2 9 1 29 13 2
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 4 13 10 28 11 16

Minnesota Vikings

1 @STL 34-6 10 BYE —–
2 NE 7-30 11 @CHI —–
3 @NO 9-20 12 GB —–
4 ATL —– 13 CAR —–
5 @GB —– 14 NYJ —–
6 DET —– 15 @DET —–
7 @BUF —– 16 @MIA —–
8 @TB —– 17 CHI —–
9 WAS —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN vs ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Teddy Bridgewater 20 200,1
RB Matt Asiata 50,1 4-30
WR Cordarrelle Patterson 30 5-70,1
TE Rhett Ellison 2-10
PK Blair Walsh 1 FG 2 XP

In with the new. Not only is Adrian Peterson still a question as to when he will return – if he ever does – but now Matt Cassel broke his foot. The Teddy Bridgewater era begins and honestly he’s bound to be about as good if not better than Cassel. The offense in Minnesota lost a lot when Peterson left and it will take time for them to find their rhythm again. Apparently Matt Asiata is not Adrian Peterson. This year is already shaping up to be a rebuilding season with bigger plans for 2015.

QUARTERBACK : The new era begins for Teddy Bridgewater who hopes to replicate the sort of success he had at Louisville when he threw 58 touchdowns in his last two seasons. Relieving Cassel last week saw him complete 12 of 20 for 150 yards and no turnovers. He also ran six times for 27 yards but was never much of a runner on college at all. His job would be indefinitely easier with the defense worrying about Adrian Peterson. But a home game against the Falcons is as good as any to start and he has above average wide receivers.

RUNNING BACK : With Peterson out indefinitely, the Vikings are riding Matt Asiata though he’s clearly a big step down with only 25 carries for 71 yards in the two games with Peterson out. His role as a receiver will be in question too until we can see what Bridgewater is like. Jerick McKinnon is being used sparingly despite the apparent need. He’s only rushed four times for nine yards with AP out. Asiata is as good as it gets here. So far – not nearly good enough.

WIDE RECEIVER : Switching to Bridgewater may not help, but it probably won’t hurt since this unit only scored twice so far and one was on a run. Cordarrelle Patterson is up to four catches for 61 yards this season but that’s below expectations. Greg Jennings is only averaging around 40 yards per week. Bridgewater could insert some excitement into the offense if he can just connect with Patterson more than Cassel did. It bears watching but he is a rookie thrown into the fire.

TIGHT END : Kyle Rudolph injured his groin and needs surgery and six weeks to heal. Rudolph only scored once this year and failed to do much in yardage anyway. He’ll be replaced by Rhett Ellison which is another way of saying no fantasy value here.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is a new offense to predict. Rookie quarterback, no more stud running back and the tight end is gone. The Falcons have been soft against the run so Asiata can be a consideration in this home game. Patterson should play just from his potential but no other Viking has enough upside to counteract the risk this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 32 26 28 18 21 20
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 8 30 9 15 8 27

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