Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs NYJ

Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs NYJ

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Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs NYJ

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Prediction: DET 24, NYJ 20 (Line: DET by 1)

Update: Eric Decker only practiced on Friday and it was just limited but HC Rex Ryan said he thought Decker would play. I will leave his moderate projections alone but he’s not going to be completely healthy even if he does play. Calvin Johnson only managed a limited practice on Friday after missing the week and appears likely to play but how well is harder to guage with his lingering ankle issue. Make sure he is active before using him.

 

The 2-1 Lions share the NFC North lead with the Bears but are 0-1 in road games so far. The 1-2 Jets are 1-1 at home but are repeatedly victimized by the pass. Ends up having a dominating defensive line doesn’t matter as much when the opponent can just throw downfield. This will be a close game but mostly because of the venue.

Detroit Lions

1 NYG 35-14 10 MIA —–
2 @CAR 7-24 11 @ARI —–
3 GB 19-7 12 @NE —–
4 @NYJ —– 13 CHI —–
5 BUF —– 14 TB —–
6 @MIN —– 15 MIN —–
7 NO —– 16 @CHI —–
8 @ATL —– 17 @GB —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 300,3
RB Stevan Ridley 70 1-10
WR Jeremy Kerley 5-60
WR Golden Tate 6-90,1
TE Brandon Pettigrew 1-20

The L:ions are changing kickers from Nate Freese to Alex Henery after missing four of seven kicks this year. Beating the Packers last week helps but this division won’t likely be settled until the very end. The Lions must improve in their away games and this one holds some promise of a win if only because the Jets offense has struggled. The Lions defense has exceeded expectations already and should be enough to keep this in the favor of the Lions.

QUARTERBACK : Not unlike many other elite quarterbacks, Matt Stafford started out with three scores in the season opener but has only passed for one more over the last two games. Playing in Carolina slows down any passer but the Packers visiting usually doesn’t result in Stafford being blanked. This week should be a great opportunity to get back on track.

RUNNING BACK : Joique Bell is starting notably slower than last year and has just one rushing score this year. Oddly his best yardage game came in Carolina but he’s been much less productive at home. Reggie Bush was held in check by the Panthers but then finally had a good performance when he totaled 99 yards and one score last week. Overall this unit has been average at best and scored just twice.

WIDE RECEIVER : After a nice home opener, the starters here have back-to-back moderate games of amazing consistency. Calvin Johnson caught six passes for 82 yards in Carolina and then six more for 83 yards against the Packers. Golden Tate turned in five receptions for 57 yards in Carolina and then five more for 51 yards last week versus the Packers. Aside from on catch by Corey Fuller for 52 yards last week, no other wideout has down anything beyond Johnson and Tate.

TIGHT END : While three different players will catch passes, no tight end has a score or produced more than 38 yards in a game. Eric Ebron may step up next season but for 2014 this is not a position with any fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets have been outstanding against the run with no rusher scoring on them or even gaining more than 43 yards. Expect a down week for Bell and Bush though Reggie may catch enough to get him a little fantasy value. All opponents have thrown for at least two touchdowns including Derek Carr. Aaron Rodgers only decent game – at the Jets. Jordy Nelson left with 209 yards and Alshon Jeffery posted 105 just last week. Stafford, Johnson and even Tate are starts this week. Bush and Bell should end up with moderate numbers at best.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 11 14 8 30 27 4
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 28 2 29 13 15 25

New York Jets

1 OAK 19-14 10 PIT —–
2 @GB 24-31 11 BYE —–
3 CHI 19-27 12 @BUF —–
4 DET —– 13 MIA —–
5 @SD —– 14 @MIN —–
6 DEN —– 15 @TEN —–
7 @NE —– 16 NE —–
8 BUF —– 17 @MIA —–
9 @KC —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Geno Smith 20 230,1
RB Matt Forte 80,1 6-50
RB Khiry Robinson 50
WR Eric Decker 4-50
WR Brandon Marshall 6-50,1
WR Kenbrell Thompkins 4-50
TE Jace Amaro 2-30,1
PK Randy Bullock 3 FG 2 XP
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 2 XP

The Jets are on a two game losing streak and the sputtering offense in unable to mount comebacks once the Jets fall behind. The defense has been outstanding at stopping the run but have been killed by the pass and next up are Matt Stafford, Philip Rivers and Peyton Manning. Any goodwill from the season opener is gone and now the Jets are getting plenty of calls from media and fans to change something in the offense – like quarterback.

QUARTERBACK : Geno Smith threw exactly one score in every game and passed for as many as 316 yards but currently pits his three touchdowns against four interceptions and one lost fumble. HC Rex Ryan has defended his quarterback already and in fairness Smith is still hampered by a glaring need for better receivers.More losses are likely and the call for a change will only get louder.

RUNNING BACK : Chris Ivory is producing more than Chris Johnson and HC Rex Ryan said that Ivory may be getting a bigger workload. He scored twice this year and is averaging 5.7 yards per carry on his 33 runs. Johnson only gained 123 yards on 35 runs for a a 3.5 yard average. All combined this is still just an average rushing offense and produced over 100 rush yards just once in the season opener against the Raiders. Based on the upcoming opponents, neither are likely to turn in a big game.

WIDE RECEIVER : Eric Decker is currently hobbled by a tight hamstring and that is a big problem since he is the only receiver of any note on the entire team. Decker started out with games of 74 and 63 yards. He fell to just one 19-yard catch last week and pulled himself from the game because of his hammy. He’ll likely be a game time decision this week and I will assume he can play but will be limited. Updates as warranted but this is almost certain to go up to kickoff before being determined. Jeremy Kerley (7-81, TD) showed up last week after producing only 60 yards total over the first two weeks.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value though Jace Amaro (3-54) showed up for the first time this year in the loss to the Bears.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Lions defense has been very good this year and held all opponents to only one passing touchdown and marginal passing yardage which is already high side for Geno Smith. No runner has gained more than 46 yards on the Lions as well. Ivory is worth a RB3 start from the potential but no other players made more than a marginal risky plan.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 13 11 23 17 10 26
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 3 5 2 21 4 21

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