Game Predictions & Player Projections - MIA vs OAK

Game Predictions & Player Projections - MIA vs OAK


Game Predictions & Player Projections - MIA vs OAK


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Prediction: MIA 24, OAK 17 (Line: MIA by 4.5)

Update: Darren McFadden is expected to start but Maurice Jones-Drew has practiced in full this week and is expected to also play in this London game. I have inserted him into the projections but the ratio between McFadden and MJD is not certain.

This is the first London game of the year and that always makes it harder to call. The trip will be shorter for the Dolphins than the Raiders. Neither team is doing well so far.

Miami Dolphins

1 NE 33-20 10 @DET —–
2 @BUF 10-29 11 BUF —–
3 KC 15-34 12 @DEN —–
4 @OAK —– 13 @NYJ —–
5 BYE —– 14 BAL —–
6 GB —– 15 @NE —–
7 @CHI —– 16 MIN —–
8 @JAC —– 17 NYJ —–
9 SD —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA @ OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 10 210,1
WR Greg Jennings 6-60
WR Kenny Stills 2-30,1

The Miami defense is getting worse with every game but at least there is only a bye on the other side of this week. After the season opener when the Pats were beaten, the Fins have been unable to mount much offense aside from a rushing game. There are no changes likely for this week other than a possible change at quarterback but were the Fins to lose this with no signs of improved offense, more changes could be coming.

QUARTERBACK : There is the open question of benching Ryan Tannehill who is just not taking the next step in his progression. He’s thrown a score in every game but not much else. He is averaging only 208 yards per game but the Fins really
have nothing more than Matt Moore to use. This week needs to show improvement by Tannehill but the Raiders have a decent pass defense.

RUNNING BACK : With Knowshon Moreno out, at least Lamar Miller is making the most of his chance. After gaining 46 yards on 11 runs in Buffalo, he cranked out 108 yards on just 15 carries versus the Chiefs. He added four catches for 24 yards as well. Daniel Thomas is back for now but only ran twice last week for relief. The rushing offense only has one touchdown but has been the only consistently decent part of the offense this year. Miller gets another chance to have a nice showing with the Raiders defense weakest against the run.

WIDE RECEIVER : This remains the Mike Wallace show but he finally did not score last week when he ended with 74 yards on five catches. Brian Hartline scored for the first time this season but has never gained more than 36 yards in any game so far. This is just a very mundane attack that uses Wallace just enough to make him fantasy relevant.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Charles Clay has been banged up anyway and has yet to gain more than 31 yards in any game or score.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Raiders have been good against the pass but then again only faced the Jets, Texans and Pats who are not passing well anyway. No reason to expect more than an average showing from Tannehill this week if he doesn’t end up benched. The Raiders have been weak against the run and allowed two players to top 100 rush yards so far. Expect a nice showing here by Miller in what should be a simplified game plan that likes to run the ball. Wallace is worth a start but lower expectations of him turning in a big game.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 28 16 16 21 12 8
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 5 23 6 10 27 9

Oakland Raiders

1 @NYJ 14-19 10 DEN —–
2 HOU 14-30 11 @SD —–
3 @NE 9-16 12 KC —–
4 MIA —– 13 @STL —–
5 BYE —– 14 SF —–
6 SD —– 15 @KC —–
7 ARI —– 16 BUF —–
8 @CLE —– 17 @DEN —–
9 @SEA —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Derek Carr 210,1
WR Michael Crabtree 6-80,1
WR Andre Holmes 3-40
TE Mychal Rivera 3-30
PK Sebastian Janikowski 1 FG 2 XP

The Raiders still have yet to score more than 14 points in any game and the level of their opponents so far have only been about average at best. The move to Derek Carr has yet to light any fires and the rushing offense has yet to generate much. Now 0-3 and traveling halfway around the world for their next loss, the Raiders at least get a bye on the other side to regroup.

QUARTERBACK : Three weeks into his NFL career and Derek Carr is not faring any better than the many quarterbacks that have gone before him in Oakland. Just about one touchdown per game and most weeks remaining below 200 passing yards. It is almost a success that he has the same number of touchdowns as interceptions (3).

RUNNING BACK : Maurice Jones-Drew practiced some last week but then was inactive for the game and there is no certainty yet that he will play here. Darren McFadden comes off his best effort of the year when he ran 18 times for 59 yards against the Patriots. Granted he only has a 3.3 YPC so far but MJD’s one game only produced 11 yards on nine carries. Latavius Murray offers relief but almost zero yardage when he carries. This is a below average rushing unit that scored only once this year – at home.

WIDE RECEIVER : The Raiders lost Rod Streater with a foot fracture last week but will find someone else to cover for the 30 yards per game he was producing. James Jones is the only fantasy player here with two scores on the year but only 189 yards total after three weeks.
Denarius Moore and Andre Holmes will get more playing time with which they will still do nearly nothing.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This is one of the worst passing offenses in the league and the Fins still have not allowed more than 249 pass yards to any opponent. This looks like just another average 200-1 game for Carr since it fits what the Fins usually allow anyway. The Raiders should have more success running the ball and there is a nice shot for a rushing touchdown here that would have to favor McFadden. London games always go off in different ways but the trip is not going to make the Raiders a better passing team. McFadden is worth a start this week and Jones can be a low-end risky start covering a bye week.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 30 29 20 24 31 31
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 12 29 3 18 28 24

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