Game Predictions & Player Projections - PHI , SF

Game Predictions & Player Projections - PHI , SF


Game Predictions & Player Projections - PHI , SF


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Prediction: PHI 23, SF 31 (Line: SF by 5.5)

Update: Vernon Davis is questionable to play after limited work this week. He is a game time decision. If healthy enough, he would be a very nice start but we cannot be sure until he is named active or inactive. I will leave the projections alone but be aware there is a question as to his availability.

The 3-0 Eagles share the NFC lead with the Cardinals even though their last two wins were only by three points. The 1-2 49ers are reeling after two losses but gets a second chance to get the first win in their new stadium. If the Eagles win, it will be really close and send the 49ers into a tailspin. This is a must-win for the 49ers on many levels.

Philadelphia Eagles

1 JAC 34-17 10 CAR —–
2 @IND 30-27 11 @GB —–
3 WAS 37-34 12 TEN —–
4 @SF —– 13 @DAL —–
5 STL —– 14 SEA —–
6 NYG —– 15 DAL —–
7 BYE —– 16 @WAS —–
8 @ARI —– 17 @NYG —–
9 @HOU —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB DeMarco Murray 90,1 3-20
RB Darren Sproles 20 5-30
WR Jordan Matthews 4-50,1
WR Rueben Randle 4-40
TE Zach Ertz 4-50
PK Cody Parkey 3 FG 2 XP
PK Caleb Sturgis 1 FG 3 XP

Beating the Jaguars or Redskins was not that big a deal and both came in home games. But the win in Indianapolis has to be respected. The defense worsens each week but the shootouts are great for fantasy purposes. This will be one of the toughest venues of the season and a big test for the ability of the Eagles to mount a comeback yet again. The Eagles offensive line keeps getting dinged. The center Jason Kelce is out for six to eight weeks with a sports hernia and that only adds to the current problems that limits the rushing effort.

QUARTERBACK : Hard to argue with three straight games that were all right at 325 passing yards. Nick Foles is averaging two scores per game but was held to only one in the only other road venue this year. Foles may do most his damage in the second half, but he is delivering the yardage every week.

RUNNING BACK : LeSean McCoy was turning out the 100 yard games but needed his receptions to get there. He’s scored just once this year and then ended with only 22 yards on 20 carries against the Redskins – that offensive line part of the problem. He gets right at 20 carries every week and anything more ends up with Darren Sproles who has the lead with two rushing touchdowns. Sproles usage is all over the map – he runs between two and eleven times and gains between 14 and 152 yards as a receiver. All in just three games. He has eaten into McCoy’s workload at least in the sense they supplement Sproles in proportion to how much more than an average game they need from the backfield.

WIDE RECEIVER : Jeremy Maclin continues to play the role that profited DeSean Jackson so well last season. Maclin scored in all three games and ended last week with eight catches for 154 yards. He’s becoming a top ten wideout just like Jackson was. Jordan Matthews did nearly nothing in the first two games but then showed up for eight receptions for 59 yards and two scores against the Redskins. Riley Cooper has yet to matter and the offense is predicated on getting Maclin and Matthews both as main weapons.

TIGHT END : Zach Ertz was able to play despite a slight knee strain last week. He had his lowest game of the season with only two catches for 14 yards but he was relied on heavily in the only other road game. Ertz gained 86 yards on four catches in Indianapolis.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The 49ers have not been playing defense as well as last season. Every opponent has at least one passing score and they’ve already allowed a total of seven on the season. Those break down mostly with the wideouts who scored six of them though only Michael Floyd managed more than 55 yards against them. This was the team that held both Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall to less than 50 yards though Marshall did end up with three touchdowns. The 49ers are at home again and need desperately to have a big win here. Foles, McCoy and Maclin are must starts. Matthews is still too new to the party to consider yet and Ertz faces a defense that held Jason Witten to only 14 yards on two catches. Ertz is a risky start here.

Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 3 2 4 14 1 7
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 25 4 30 9 12 13

San Francisco 49ers

1 @DAL 28-17 10 @NO —–
2 CHI 20-28 11 @NYG —–
3 @ARI 14-23 12 WAS —–
4 PHI —– 13 SEA —–
5 KC —– 14 @OAK —–
6 @STL —– 15 @SEA —–
7 @DEN —– 16 SD —–
8 BYE —– 17 ARI —–
9 STL —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
SF vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Colin Kaepernick 50,1 250,2
RB Reggie Bush 20 5-40,1
WR Anquan Boldin 4-50
WR Torrey Smith 2-30
PK Phil Dawson 1 FG 4 XP

Losing to the Bears in the Grand Opening of the new stadium was rough. But following that up with a loss to the Cardinals now throws the 49ers two games back in the division and scrambling to regain their offensive and defensive identities from last year. A loss here would be a disaster and suggest that the 49ers need to make changes or risk losing the season so early.

QUARTERBACK : Three games in and Colin Kaepernick has been just average. Each game contains between 200 and 250 passing yards and just one score other than the two against the Cowboys. Kaepernick is still running for 50+ yards per game which helps his fantasy value, but he hasn’t been able to generate a comeback when they fall behind despite having more weapons than he’s ever had..

RUNNING BACK : Frank Gore refused to speak with the media last the loss to the Cardinals and his role has been rather minor this year. After getting about 16 touches in the first two games, he was limited to only six runs to gain ten yards in Arizona. Gore is not a part of the passing scheme. He scored once in the only home game but has topped out at 75 total yards this year. They’ll want to appease him in front of the hometown crowd is they can this week. Carlos Hyde only gets a couple of carries each week but scored twice so far and even in his few appearances runs like a bull. The 49ers will likely be better off next year when assumedly Hyde becomes the primary back.

WIDE RECEIVER : At least Michael Crabtree is having better games. He’s getting more targets than anyone and scored in both of the last two games which ended with around 80 yards each. He is the only consistent part of the passing game. Anquan Boldin was held to fewer than 40 yards in the last two weeks. Stevie Johnson ended with nine catches for 103 yards last week but was mostly covering for Vernon Davis who was knocked out of the loss to the Cardinals.

TIGHT END : Vernon Davis injured his ankle could not play in Arizona. The team is hopeful that he will be able to play this week and I will assume he can. I will update as needed and the 49ers offense works far better with him there even if only as a decoy.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The beauty of playing the Eagles is that you get to play in a shootout. They have allowed eight passing scores and never fewer than two. The yardage can be very healthy but only when you abandon the run which is unlikely here.The only other road game for the Eagles saw the Colts run for 149 yards. The normal starters apply here – Crabtree, Gore, Kaepernick and Davis. Have to believe they will want to appease Gore in particular against a softer rush defense.

Gaining Fantasy Points SF 12 28 10 15 29 11
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 31 21 32 16 18 14

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