Game Predictions & Player Projections - ATL vs NYG

Game Predictions & Player Projections - ATL vs NYG

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Game Predictions & Player Projections - ATL vs NYG

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Prediction: ATL 20, NYG 31 (Line: NYG by 4)

UPDATE: Harry Douglas has been called out this week because of his foot and will be replaced by Devin Hester.

The 2-2 Falcons continue their dualistic curse of being great at home and terrible on the road. The 2-2 Giants and only 1-1 at home but are on a two game winning streak and look like they are finally getting all the pieces together in the new offense and defense.

Atlanta Falcons

1 NO 37-34 10 @TB —–
2 @CIN 10-24 11 @CAR —–
3 TB 56-14 12 CLE —–
4 @MIN 28-41 13 ARI —–
5 @NYG —– 14 @GB —–
6 CHI —– 15 PIT —–
7 @BAL —– 16 @NO —–
8 DET —– 17 CAR —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
ATL @ NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan 270,2
WR Devin Hester 3-40
WR Julio Jones 6-80
WR Mohamed Sanu 3-40
TE Levine Toilolo 2-20
PK Matt Bryant 2 FG 2 XP

Now what to think? The Falcons have their offense healthy again and they score with wild abandon when at home. But after losing in Cincy, they gave up 41 points to a Vikings team without Adrian Peterson and using a rookie quarterback? The Falcons defense is a major problem and one that is not going to be solved any time soon. Fortunately, they are doling out nice fantasy points.

QUARTERBACK : Matt Ryan is starting the season well with ten touchdowns and over 280 yards in all but one game. The oddity is that he has zero interceptions at home and yet five on the road. He laid down 298 yards and three scores in Minnesota but on the road to Cincinnati he was held to only 231 yards and one score. Ryan is not immune from the road woes but he’s not nearly the problem that the defense is. Ryan is what is keeping the Falcons together.

RUNNING BACK : No changes here. Steven Jackson will get 12 to 15 runs and likely no catches. He won’t score or top 50 yards unless he is at home. Jacquizz Rodgers and Devonta Freeman get a smattering of touches that do not matter. And Antone Smith takes the fewest touches of them all and breaks off a really long touchdown.

WIDE RECEIVER : Roddy White remains good for about five catches per week and while he scored twice this season he’s yet to top 75 yards in any game. Julio Jones has been terrific when at home with 100-yard efforts on both and two scores against the Buccaneers but when he’s on the road, Jones is stuck right around 80 yards. He is one of the highest scoring fantasy wideouts but gets most of that done while in Atlanta. Harry Douglas caught a score last week but remains well below any fantasy relevancy. This entire offense revolves around White and Jones.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: On the road again is a red flag and the Giants have only allowed one passing score in their two home games this year. The Falcons mediocre rushing offense should remain just as bad in New York where teams are starting to struggle to run. No difference here from any week. Jones and White are must starts even in a road game and the Giants have allowed two receivers to top 100 yards already though the scoring has mostly been done by the #3 wideout. Ryan is a good start but expect lower stats this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 2 6 1 30 17 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 21 17 10 5 15 22

New York Giants

1 @DET 14-35 10 @SEA —–
2 ARI 14-25 11 SF —–
3 HOU 30-17 12 DAL —–
4 @WAS 45-14 13 @JAC —–
5 ATL —– 14 @TEN —–
6 @PHI —– 15 WAS —–
7 @DAL —– 16 @STL —–
8 BYE —– 17 PHI —–
9 IND —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG vs ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 240,2
RB Rashad Jennings 110,1 2-20
RB Shane Vereen 30 5-40
RB Andre Williams 50,1 2-10
WR Victor Cruz 5-70,1
WR Hakeem Nicks 2-20
TE Larry Donnell 7-60,1
PK Josh Brown 1 FG 4 XP

The Giants are still hard to read but they are definitely getting better on their two game winning streak where the offense finally came to life and threw up 75 points over just two weeks. Both the rushing and passing have been vastly improved and how much of that was just the matchup still won’t be known by next week with the weak Falcons defense coming to town. The schedule gets serious immediately after with road games in Philadelphia and Dallas.

QUARTERBACK : Several fantasy owners of Eli Manning are rushing back to the waiver wire after the passed for 300 yards and four scores in Washington plus ran in a score. Though he started poorly against very good defenses, Manning is not tossing multiple touchdowns per week with healthy yardage. The reports of his demise really were premature.

RUNNING BACK : Rashad Jennings scored twice this year and racked up 176 yards on 34 carries in the most recent home game. But true to their word, Andre Williams took a far bigger share with 15 runs for 66 yards and a score last week. He had been held to eight or fewer carries and done very little with them before last week. Jennings was held to only 13 carries but gained 55 yards. No doubt both runners are looking forward to this week’s matchup.

WIDE RECEIVER : The rookie Odell Beckham remains more of myth and is no lock to play this week. But at least Victor Cruz is in gear again with back-to-back efforts of 100+ yards. Rueben Randle was lagging badly with sub 40-yard games but showed up with 89 yards on eight carries in Washington. The team will need more than Cruz in future games but at least he is turning in his expected fantasy value after marginal showings against the Lions and Cardinals.
The Giants rarely use multiple receiver sets.

TIGHT END : He may end up as the greatest sleeper tight end of all time. Never had a catch in two years, wasn’t even on top of the depth chart but Larry Donnell already scored four touchdowns. He stays around 50 yards or more in games. He just had three scored in Washington and almost made it four. Manning likes his tight ends so much that even Daniel Fells scored in each of the last three weeks despite never catching more than two very short passes.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Falcons have been great against the pass with only three touchdowns thrown against them over four weeks. But the reality is that they are so weak against the run that opponents do not bother much with the pass. They have already allowed eight rushing touchdowns to running backs. In two road games, they allowed 42-164-2 to the Bengals backs and then 38-213-3 to the Vikings backs and none were named “Adrian”. Start Manning and Cruz for what should be moderate games but make sure that both Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams play this week.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 7 18 25 3 22 11
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 12 32 9 8 21 26

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