Game Predictions & Player Projections - BAL vs IND

Game Predictions & Player Projections - BAL vs IND

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Game Predictions & Player Projections - BAL vs IND

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Prediction: BAL 24, IND 27 (Line: IND by 3.5)

The 3-1 Ravens take their 1-0 road record to Indianapolis to face the 2-2 Colts. The Ravens are fresh from bombing the Panthers while the Colts are on a two game streak of 40+ points from their offense. The Colts are not stumbling on offense like the Panthers were. The Colts are not stumbling at all.

Baltimore Ravens

1 CIN 16-23 10 TEN —–
2 PIT 26-6 11 BYE —–
3 @CLE 23-21 12 @NO —–
4 CAR 38-10 13 SD —–
5 @IND —– 14 @MIA —–
6 @TB —– 15 JAC —–
7 ATL —– 16 @HOU —–
8 @CIN —– 17 CLE —–
9 @PIT —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
BAL @ IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco 270,2
RB Justin Forsett 60 4-20
RB Trent Richardson 40 3-20
RB Lorenzo Taliaferro 50,1
WR Steve Smith 5-80
PK Justin Tucker 1 FG 3 XP

The Ravens are a on a nice three-game winning streak that has not only featured a solid defense but also an offense that continues to improve. The Ray Rice Dealio is starting to get small in the rear view mirror and the backfield is in better shape than we expected. The addition of Steve Smith has been significant and the Ravens look better poised for a deep run than they have since… since.. since they did go to the Super Bowl.

QUARTERBACK : Joe Flacco is passing for about two scores per week and moderate yardage unless they fall behind or Steve Smith wants to embarrass his old team. Flacco currently sports seven touchdowns against only two interceptions. Even losing Dennis Pitta again has made no impact on the passing game.

RUNNING BACK : All three backs were healthy and active last week but Bernard Pierce remained on the sideline. That could have been just to make “extra sure” that Pierce was healthy. Or that all the accolades that HC John Harbaugh has heaped on both Justin Forsett and Lorenzo Taliaferro mean that the boat already left and Pierce wasn’t on it.

This week should be a better indicator of what to expect but last week in Carolina, Forsett ran for 66 yards and a score plus 31 more yards on three catches. Taliaferro ran for 58 yards and a touchdown as well. Thanks Bernard, but it looks like this thing is already working. I’ll consider Pierce as the #3 this week and change if that is not true.

WIDE RECEIVER : Steve Smith certainly looks rejuvenated in a Ravens uniform. Three of his four games topped 100 yards and he’s already scored three times this year. It is like everything that Cam Newton would not do. Smith is not a 35-year old wide receiver on his way out. He is a top five wideout in fantasy right now. Torrey Smith has returned to the deep threat that he really always was and scored in Carolina as well. Make no mistake though – Smith has quickly taken over the passing game.

TIGHT END : Dennis Pitta is gone but Owen Daniels takes his place. He only had four catches for 43 yards last week as that was all the Ravens needed. Daniels will be more involved in future games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Colts are only average against the pass and all opponents throw for at least one score if not up to three. They also allowed four rushing touchdowns on the year with good yardage for the dual threat running backs. Forsett should shine here with his runs and catches and even Taliaferro has a shot at a score and moderate rushing yards. The Colts are also weaker on tight end with three having 80+ yards against them. That makes Owen Daniels a decent play for this week. The Colts best strength comes against wideouts who have not yet topped 80 yards against them. Look for at least a slightly lower output from Steve Smith.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 16 9 19 11 7 31
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 23 18 4 29 17 6

Indianapolis Colts

1 @DEN 24-31 10 BYE —–
2 PHI 27-30 11 NE  —–
3 @JAC 44-17 12 JAC —–
4 TEN 41-17 13 WAS —–
5 BAL —– 14 @CLE —–
6 @HOU —– 15 HOU —–
7 CIN —– 16 @DAL —–
8 @PIT —– 17 @TEN —–
9 @NYG —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
IND vs BAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 1 300,2
RB Ahmad Bradshaw 40 3-20,1
RB Frank Gore 60
WR T.Y. Hilton 6-80
TE Dwayne Allen 3-50,1
PK Adam Vinatieri 2 FG 3 XP

The Colts are red hot now with monster wins over the Titans and Jaguars. The promise to let Andrew Luck throw more has been more than honored and the results are spectacular even though they oddly benefit tight ends the most. Even the tougher matchups are coming in as visitors instead of having to hit the road. The Colts are easily the best 2-2 team in the league and one that will be well above .500 at the end.

QUARTERBACK : Andrew Luck is currently the #1 quarterback in most scoring formats thanks to 14 touchdowns and an average of 326 passing yards per game. His four interceptions seem a bit high but he’s only been sacked twice over the last three games. This is definitely a year where Luck is going to play a role in the playoffs.<rimshot>

RUNNING BACK : Trent Richardson comes off his best game of the year. He ran for 47 yards and turned four catches into 52 more yards while running in his first touchdown of the year. Granted – he only averaged 2.4 yards per rush in that game. And he has just 3.3 yards per game on the season. But for once, you did not have to wonder why they don’t just give it all to Ahmad Bradshaw instead.

Ahmad Bradshaw had a walking boot on after the game but early word is that he’ll be fine for this game – whatever “fine” means when his feet are involved. He has yet to run in a score but notched four touchdowns as a receiver over the last three games.

WIDE RECEIVER : Reggie Wayne caught seven passes for 119 yards and one score versus the titans for his best game of the year and only touchdown. T.Y. Hilton still has not scored but also turned in his first big game with 105 yards on six receptions. As it works out, these wide receivers get the catches and the yards but almost all the scoring goes to the tight ends and running backs.

TIGHT END : The problem is that Luck is using all three tight ends and none of them have reliably good yardage. But they share six touchdowns between them. Coby Fleener caught one in each of the last two games. Dwayne Allen scored in every game other than week two when he had zero catches. And even Jack “WHO?” Doyle scored once. These guys are going to score. Which ones? Tougher question.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: This will be interesting. The Ravens have only allowed three passing touchdowns this year and just two more to runners. They have held tight ends to the lowest totals of any defense. But the Ravens also went against the Panthers and Browns to get those stats. Andy Dalton threw for 301 yards on them. Brian Hoyer had 290 yards. These Colts are also at home and hitting on all cylinders. Have to start Luck, Wayne, Hilton and Bradshaw at the least. This will be a great test for both teams.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 1 7 3 4 2 10
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 3 5 26 1 14 4

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