Game Predictions & Player Projections - PIT vs JAC

Game Predictions & Player Projections - PIT vs JAC

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Game Predictions & Player Projections - PIT vs JAC

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Prediction: PIT 31, JAC 16 (Line: PIT by 7)

The 2-2 Steelers come off a shocking loss to the Buccaneers last week and now fall a game and a half behind the Bengals. The 0-4 Jaguars are a thing of beauty. It is not enough that they are 0-4. Or that they average getting beaten 38-14. It is that they rank 30th or worse in every single fantasy category. Let me be the first to say it. They are not bad. They are Jaguars Bad™.

Pittsburgh Steelers

1 CLE 30-27 10 @NYJ —–
2 @BAL 6-26 11 @TEN —–
3 @CAR 37-19 12 BYE —–
4 TB 24-27 13 NO —–
5 @JAC —– 14 @CIN —–
6 @CLE —– 15 @ATL —–
7 HOU —– 16 KC —–
8 IND —– 17 CIN —–
9 BAL —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
PIT @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger 300,3
RB Le’Veon Bell 60,1 4-30
WR Antonio Brown 8-110,2
WR Markus Wheaton 5-60
TE Heath Miller 6-60,1
PK Shaun Suisham 1 FG 4 XP

The Steelers looked like they had it all together when they pummeled the Panthers in Carolina but then the Bucs caught them napping and managed a comeback victory. The problems with the defense are biggest and the offense is holding its own. A game like this week should make it all better again before heading to Cleveland the following week.

QUARTERBACK : Finally playing against a soft defense, Ben Roethlisberger passed for 314 yards and three scores versus the Buccaneers. He’s scored in all but one game and should feast on the Jaguars this week despite it being on the road. Last week was proof enough not to let an inferior team beat you.

RUNNING BACK : While Le’Veon Bell is light on scoring – just one back in the season opener – he’s good for 100 total yards or more every week and topped 100 rushing yards twice already. He is also catching up to six passes per game though they increase in proportion to how tough the opposing defense is. LeGarrette Blount can show up with a score and even broke 100 yards in Carolina but usually remains with less than 10 rush yards and he has not caught a pass this year.

WIDE RECEIVER : Antonio Brown is one of the top NFL wideouts this year and comes off his second straight game with two touchdowns. He has not fallen below 90 yards in any game this season and currently has five touchdowns. Brown set an NFL record with 20 consecutive games of at least five catches and 50 yards. That is fortunate since no other Steeler wideout has scored and almost never top 50 yards in a game. It is all Brown, all the time. With 17 catches for 221 yards and four touchdowns, you have to wonder if he won’t set some three game record after he leaves Jacksonville.

TIGHT END : Heath Miller typically ends up with four catches for maybe 50 yards but posted ten receptions for 85 yards and his first touchdown of the year. He’s a marginal choice unless there is a shootout against a team that cannot cover a tight end.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Oh Jacksonville, how do I love thee? No one has passed for fewer than two scores or 250 yards on them. They are averaging 344 passing yards allowed with three touchdowns. The Jaguars have not allowed more than 85 yards to any runner so far but have given up six touchdowns to running backs in just four games. So start ’em all – Roethlisberger, Bell, Brown and even Miller since they have also allowed four scores to tight ends already.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 18 11 4 16 8 25
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 32 30 32 31 32 32

Jacksonville Jaguars

1 @PHI 17-34 10 DAL —–
2 @WAS 10-41 11 BYE —–
3 IND 17-44 12 @IND —–
4 @SD 14-33 13 NYG —–
5 PIT —– 14 HOU —–
6 @TEN —– 15 @BAL —–
7 CLE —– 16 TEN —–
8 MIA —– 17 @HOU —–
9 @CIN —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC vs PIT Rush Catch Pass
QB Blake Bortles 20 200,1
RB Chris Ivory 50
RB Denard Robinson 20 3-20
WR Allen Hurns 5-70
WR Allen Robinson 5-60
TE Julius Thomas 5-60,1

Certainly cannot argue that the Jaguars defense is doing no favors for the offense allowing at least 33 points every week. This young offense cannot keep up with half that much and there is end in sight for the losing. Eventually a trap game will happen as it always does. This is just a very young and inexperienced team that is going through lengthy growing pains.

QUARTERBACK : Blake Bortles wasn’t bad in his first start. He passed for 253 yards and a touchdown in San Diego but had two interceptions and three sacks. He is getting nearly nothing from the rushing game and his wideouts are still in transition. All part of the growing pains that should pay off next year.

RUNNING BACK : Toby Gerhart finally scored last week but has never gained more than 42 yards in any game. Denard Robinson actually played on more snaps than Gerhart though the Jags are quick to say that there has been no depth chart updates. Besides, Robinson only ran nine times for 25 yards anyway. This is officially the worst backfield in the NFL.

WIDE RECEIVER : Cecil Shorts was able to play two consecutive games before hitting the sideline again with a hamstring strain. Marqise Lee is out with a hamstring strain but may improve enough to play here. Allen Robinson has yet to find the endzone despite being a starter and Allen Hurns once again was the lead receiver with five catches for 69 yards in San Diego. Hurns already has three of the six passing scores this year and all but one that went to a wide receiver.

TIGHT END : As noted last week, Clay Harbor was finally healthy enough to play for the first time this season and ended with eight catches for 69 yards in San Diego. He’ll step back once Marcedes Lewis returns but until then offers up a target that Bortles has already grown to trust.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The hard part of predicting the Jaguars is that what they accomplish usually comes in trash time so it is never a true comparison of offense vs. defense. The Steelers need to make up for losing to the Bucs and the Jags need plenty of trash time. While Allen Hurns or even Bortles may have a decent fantasy showing, it is very risky to rely on. Because it will likely happen late in the game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 17 32 9 14 31 26
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 15 13 20 27 30 13

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