Game Predictions & Player Projections - TB vs NO

Game Predictions & Player Projections - TB vs NO


Game Predictions & Player Projections - TB vs NO


table {
background: #ffffcc; }

Prediction: TB 14, NO 34 (Line: NO by 11)

UPDATED: Austin Sefarian-Jenkins only had a limited practice on Friday but may still play. If you need hi,m, check the inactives for the early games. As expected Mike Evans remains out with his groin for another week or two.

This really needs to be a win for the 1-3 Saints who have yet to win on the road. The 1-3 Buccaneers shocked the Steelers in Pittsburgh with a comeback win at the last second. This is their third leg of a road stretch and their first road game was the 14-56 mauling by the Falcons. The Bucs were embarrassed by the Falcons and responded with the Pittsburgh win. The Saints were just embarrassed by the Cowboys and this will be their big win.

The Saints swept the Buccaneers last year, winning 42-17 at home and 16-14 on the road.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1 CAR 14-20 10 ATL —–
2 STL 17-19 11 @WAS —–
3 @ATL 14-56 12 @CHI —–
4 @PIT 27-24 13 CIN —–
5 @NO —– 14 @DET —–
6 BAL —– 15 @CAR —–
7 BYE —– 16 GB —–
8 MIN —– 17 NO —–
9 @CLE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
TB @ NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Mike Glennon 240,2
RB Doug Martin 40 3-20
WR Vincent Jackson 4-50,1
WR Louis Murphy 4-50
TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins 3-40

The schedule makers did the Bucs no favors with throwing so many good defenses on their plate this year but the team at least looks better now that Mike Glennon is back under center and they finally have a win to differentiate themselves from the Raiders and Jaguars.

QUARTERBACK : All Mike Glennon did in his first start of 2014 was throw for a career best 302 yards and two touchdowns in the comeback win over the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Josh McCown is out with an injured thumb but HC Lovie Smith won’t commit to either being the starter. I’ll assume that Glennon gets the nod this week and likely all the rest. McCown was never more than the journeyman that bounced from team to team.

Glennon passed for 219 yards and two scores in New Orleans last year.

RUNNING BACK : Doug Martin returned last week and while he only ran for 40 yards and a score on 14 carries, at least he completely killed off Bobby Rainey as an option. Rainey only rushed four times for a net of two yards. Martin did add two catches for 16 yards as well . So long as he is healthy, Martin is the only runner that matters here.

The Buccaneers combined for only 70 rushing yards in New Orleans last season.

WIDE RECEIVER : Glennon made the wideouts look good. Vincent Jackson only managed three catches for 32 yards but caught the game winner and scored once in the loss to the Falcons when Glennon made a cameo at the end. Mike Evans ended with a personal best of 65 yards and a score on four receptions but then injured his groin and will miss two to three weeks. In his place will be Louis Murphy who only signed a few weeks ago but turned in six catches for 99 yards last week including the improbable 41-yard completion that set up the last second touchdown. Murphy is no secret weapon – he is a sixth-year player on his fourth team.

Jackson never scored on the Saints in 2013 and ended with four catches for 35 yards in New Orleans.

TIGHT END : Austin Seferian-Jenkins returned from a two game absence and brought in three catches for 44 yards while Brandon Myers failed to catch any passes. ASJ played a full game and hold promise for later in the season as he develops into a play maker at the goal line.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: These two teams are very familiar and the Saints are desperate for a win. And they are at home. The Bucs are still happy about last week and that should spell a bigger loss this time. Glennon, Martin and Jackson all have to be considered moderate plays i this venue. You can see above how it went last year.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 19 23 26 19 30 13
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 26 22 30 7 28 17

New Orleans Saints

1 @ATL 34-37 10 SF —–
2 @CLE 24-26 11 CIN —–
3 MIN 20-9 12 BAL —–
4 @DAL 17-38 13 @PIT —–
5 TB —– 14 CAR —–
6 BYE —– 15 @CHI —–
7 @DET —– 16 ATL —–
8 GB —– 17 @TB —–
9 @CAR —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
NO vs TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 320,4
RB C.J. Spiller 40 3-30
WR Brandin Cooks 8-80
TE Coby Fleener 4-30
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 2 XP
PK Josh Scobee 3 FG 1 XP

Beating the visiting Vikings seemed to make things better but then getting spanked in Dallas last Sunday night left a mark. The Saints are struggling this year as are many other teams who once were top shelf. And the disturbing part is not that they lost three road games but that they lost three to teams they were favored to beat. The first five weeks was supposed to be the easy part of the schedule.

QUARTERBACK : Drew Brees threw a score in each game this year but never more than two. He is averaging a respectable 301 yards per game. He is just not scoring as much. Brees passed for 381 yards and four scores on the visiting Bucs last year. He’ll try to replicate that.

RUNNING BACK : Mark Ingram remains out for another two weeks and in his place Khiry Robinson has been solid. He ran for 69 yards in the Vikings win and then posted 87 yards on just eight runs against the Cowboys. Pierre Thomas still has not rushed for more than 31 yards in any game but adds a few catches. This backfield is mediocre at best and is missing the touchdowns that Ingram was supplying.

The Saints combined for only 93 yards on 25 carries against the Bucs last season.

WIDE RECEIVER : This is where the disconnect is the worst. The wideouts have combined for only two touchdowns – same as no-name tight end Josh Hill on his four short receptions this year. Brandin Cooks scored in the season opener but since has been held in check other than the eight catches for 74 yards in the only other home game. Marques Colston has been marginal at best since the opener though he did score once in his five catches for 25 yards in the previous home game.

Kenny Stills (1-76), Lance Moore (4-73) and Robert Meacham (1-41) all scored on the Bucs last year while Colston was held to 67 yards on six catches.

TIGHT END : Jimmy Graham already scored three times and topped 80 yards in all but one game – the one home venue. He’s still the main cog in the passing game. Josh Hill did score in each of the last two games but cannot be considered since he only averages one catch per week.

Graham turned in 71 yards and a score on five receptions versus the Bucs last season.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Saints need to regroup and win a game in a big way. Especially now that they are home again. They are already giving up three scores to lesser passers and a good rushing defense forces teams to run up the score using the pass. Start Brees, Colston, Graham and even Cooks. Consider Robinson and Thomas as moderate running backs this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points NO 10 5 24 1 26 32
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 25 15 31 28 23 30

table {
background: #ffffcc; }


More Huddle