Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs ATL

Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs ATL


Game Predictions & Player Projections - CHI vs ATL


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Prediction: CHI 29, ATL 30 (Line: ATL by 3)

The 2-3 Bears are on a two game losing streak and head on their fourth road trip of the year to face the 2-3 Falcons who are 2-0 at home. The Bears have played quite well on the road with their one loss only by one touchdown. The Falcons give up major points in road games but they’ve only played at home twice and barely beat the Saints there in a shootout. This is a hard one to call because the Falcons should be able to throw at will here but the Bears should run wild. Coin toss.

Chicago Bears

1 BUF 20-23 10 @GB —–
2 @SF 28-20 11 MIN —–
3 @NYJ 27-19 12 TB —–
4 GB 17-38 13 @DET —–
5 @CAR 24-31 14 DAL —–
6 @ATL —– 15 NO —–
7 MIA —– 16 DET —–
8 @NE —– 17 @MIN —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI @ ATL Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 260,2
WR Alshon Jeffery 6-80,1
WR Eddie Royal 5-40,1
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 3 XP

The Bears offense is good but it can barely keep up with what the defense is giving away each week and that has been against less than lethal offenses so far. No doubt the team is getting road weary but their schedule was jacked up from the start and ends with only one road game between weeks ten and seventeen. On the plus side, this is a great team to have a weak defense since shootouts benefit us all. This week should be no different.

QUARTERBACK : While Jay Cutler has been lower on yardage, he thrown at least two touchdowns in every game and has a total of 12 scores against only six interceptions. He’s been moderate in yardage in most weeks though and almost all his passing is directed at just four players.

RUNNING BACK : Matt Forte still has not ran in a touchdown yet but he scored on a catch in the loss to the Panthers and totaled 166 yards in that game including 12 receptions for 105 yards. He’s been over 160 total yards in every home game and the one road venue in Carolina. Otherwise he was far less effective in San Francisco and New York but that was to be expected. He just needs more scores. He has the yardage already.

WIDE RECEIVER : Even HC Marc Trestman is bothered with the low volume of catches by Brandon Marshall who started the year red hot but in the last three games has only a total of six catches for 60 yards and one touchdown. Marshall is healthy again and the Bears will make a point to get him back into the game plan more.

Alshon Jeffery scored in each of the last two weeks and his best two games were the most recent road venues. He posted 105 yards on eight catches in New York against the Jets and then 97 yards and a score on six catches in Carolina. No other wideout has a score of even three catches in a game.

TIGHT END : Martellus Bennett was cold last week when he only managed three catches for 17 yards but he was coming off a 134 yard effort over the Packers. He also scored three times over the previous two road games. Aside from the Panthers defense, Bennett has been a solid play every week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: What must be noticed is that the Falcons are #32 against running backs and already gave up nine rushing touchdowns to the position in just five games. Expect a very nice effort from Forte who will throw on even more yardage as a receiver. This is his best chance of the year to get that rushing touchdown. But Cutler faces a secondary that has only allowed one score per opponent while at home and that included Drew Brees. No tight ends have scored on them and only Jimmy Graham gained more than 33 yards from that position. Forte, Marshall, Jeffery and even Cutler are still plays this week but chances are passing numbers will be a bit lower this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 4 21 20 5 23 4
Preventing Fantasy Points ATL 8 32 12 3 26 22

Atlanta Falcons

1 NO 37-34 10 @TB —–
2 @CIN 10-24 11 @CAR —–
3 TB 56-14 12 CLE —–
4 @MIN 28-41 13 ARI —–
5 @NYG 20-30 14 @GB —–
6 CHI —– 15 PIT —–
7 @BAL —– 16 @NO —–
8 DET —– 17 CAR —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
ATL vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Ryan 300,3
WR Julio Jones 10-120,2
WR Mohamed Sanu 9-90,1
TE Levine Toilolo 2-20
PK Matt Bryant 3 FG 3 XP

The Falcons team effort varies wildly from week to week. They blew out the Buccaneers and then were beaten ay 13 points by the Vikings. But even at 2-3 they are in second place in the division and only one game behind the Panthers. But the defense has allowed the third most points scored behind only the Buccaneers and Jaguars. And with a rushing game that typifies mediocrity, each week is coming down to how much Matt Ryan and Julio Jones can connect.

QUARTERBACK : Matt Ryan scored in every game this year and currently totals 11 touchdowns against just six interceptions. Only once did he throw for fewer than 286 yards so this offense is posting the passing stats even if the wins are in the minority. Ryan’s on pace for a career best season.

RUNNING BACK : All combined this is a very good backfield. “All combined”. But it used for different runners regularly. Steven Jackson scored twice this season but has never topped 55 yards in any game. Jacquizz Rodgers was never supposed to have much of a role but he’s used second to Jackson in most weeks. Antone Smith may be 29 years old but he’s spent all four seasons in Atlanta and only now is being noticed because each week he scores a long touchdown. Four out of the five so far but he has not been given more than four touches in a game. HC Mike Smith said he would give him more.

But the rookie Devonta Freeman is also in play with six to eight touches so someone will lose out if Smith increases his load. But overall – there is not nearly enough fantasy value in any of them once the split occurs.

WIDE RECEIVER : Julio Jones is enjoying a monster season and still has yet to produce under 80 yards in a game. He already has three touchdowns and three times topped 100 yards. The schedule has been lighter to start the year but regardless, Jones is golden every week without fail and always catches at least six passes.

Roddy White has been much less productive. He scored twice but only topped 50 yards in games against really weak secondaries. This offense mostly revolves around connecting with Julio Jones and White is in a slight decline.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bears were already bad and now just lost their free safety to a his second concussion of the year. The Bears allowed multiple passing scores in the last two games and Aaron Rodgers toasted them with 302 yards and four scores. The Bears rushing defense is decent and has not allowed more than 63 rush yards to any runner though three have scored a rushing touchdown on them. At home against the Bears weak secondary, Ryan, Jones and even White are must starts and the running backs remain a mish mash that lacks consistency and reliability.

Gaining Fantasy Points ATL 3 2 1 32 17 12
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 27 11 21 18 30 27

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