Game Predictions & Player Projections - SD vs DEN

Game Predictions & Player Projections - SD vs DEN


Game Predictions & Player Projections - SD vs DEN


table {
background: #ffffcc; }

Prediction: SD 24, DEN 30 (Line: DEN by 7.5)

This should be a great Thursday night game. The 5-2 Chargers just lost to the visiting Chiefs and the 5-1 Broncos are undefeated at home. But the Broncos come off a big emotional Sunday night game when Peyton Manning broke the touchdown record. The Chargers won 27-20 in Denver last year. The Broncos won 28-20 in San Diego, The Broncos would later win in the divisional round then they beat the Chargers 24-17. These teams tend to play close but it is hard to bet against the Broncos at home.

San Diego Chargers

1 @ARI 17-18 10 BYE —–
2 SEA 30-21 11 OAK —–
3 @BUF 22-10 12 STL —–
4 JAC 33-14 13 @BAL —–
5 NYJ 31-0 14 NE —–
6 @OAK 31-28 15 DEN —–
7 KC 20-23 16 @SF —–
8 @DEN —– 17 @KC —–
9 @MIA —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
SD @ DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Philip Rivers 250,2
RB Branden Oliver 60,1 4-30
WR Keenan Allen 4-40
WR Travis Benjamin 2-20
WR Malcom Floyd 4-50
TE Antonio Gates 6-60,1

Just when the Chargers seem like they are an elite team, they struggle to beat the Raiders and then lose to the Chiefs in San Diego. The defense that was so good through the initial five weeks came up short and allowed the Raiders to score 28 points. This is a critical game because a win would give the Bolts a half game lead in the division but a loss means a game and a half back plus Denver has the tiebreaker.

QUARTERBACK : Philip Rivers comes off his lowest game of the year – only 205 yards but he threw two touchdowns to make it six straight weeks with multiple scores. But Rivers never threw for more than two scores in Denver in either game played there last season. He was held to at most 217 passing yards in each.

RUNNING BACK : Donald Brown remains out with his concussion and is not expected to make it back in time for this Thursday game. Branden Oliver was held to only 67 yards on 15 carries by the Chiefs for his worst game since becoming a starter. But he had over 100 yards and a score in each of the other starts and has been good for four catches per game as well. He’s limited more by volume of touches than by the defense.

Mathew rushed for 127 yards and one score in Denver last year.

WIDE RECEIVER : The scoring woes of Keenan Allen continue unabated. Not only has he not scored, but he gained over 60 yards in only one game despite being the primary target in nearly every game. Eddie Royal and Malcom Floyd have five and three touchdowns respectively but but also struggle to produce more than very moderate yardage in every game.

Keenan Allen scored twice in both meetings at Denver last year. He only managed two catches for 29 yards in the regular season and later six receptions for 142 yards in the playoffs.

TIGHT END : While Antonio Gates also is light on yardage compared to seasons past, he’s a solid target in the red zone and scored in each of the last three games. He totals seven touchdowns on the season but he needs those scores in order to maintain fantasy value. His last two games without a score only saw him gain eight and 30 yards.

Gates never scored or gained more than 25 yards versus the Broncos last season.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: No matter than the Broncos are rolling up big scores, they are not allowing opponents to pass for more than two touchdowns and mostly mid 200’s in passing which is right in line with what Rivers usually produces. Runners rarely do much in Denver if only from a lack of volume since the Broncos get a lead and opponents cannot just run the ball. The Broncos have been good against tight ends but haven’t faced almost any receiving tight ends Both Dwayne Allen and Jace Amaro scored against them. The Broncos are also excellent against wide receivers and there just is no consistency or reliability in any of the Chargers wideouts. Rivers is a decent play and both Oliver and Gates are the best bets from the Chargers this week. With Rivers needing to throw and the Broncos great against wideouts, the tight ends and running backs as receivers are always popular in Denver games.

Gaining Fantasy Points SD 4 22 18 5 7 27
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 23 11 14 21 10 2

Denver Broncos

1 IND 31-24 10 @OAK —–
2 KC 24-17 11 @STL —–
3 @SEA 20-26 12 MIA —–
4 BYE —– 13 @KC —–
5 ARI 41-20 14 BUF —–
6 @NYJ 31-17 15 @SD —–
7 SF 42-17 16 @CIN —–
8 SD —– 17 OAK —–
9 @NE —–  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Ronnie Hillman 60 3-20
WR Emmanuel Sanders 5-80
WR Demaryius Thomas 7-120,1
TE Garrett Graham 2-20
PK Brandon McManus 3 FG 3 XP

That loss to the Seahawks is the only reason that the Broncos are not undefeated and they’ll be favored in every remaining game other than possibly at Cincinnati in week 16. The win over the 49ers was emotional with Manning setting the passing record and while that could be a let down the following week, likely not in this case. The Broncos remain at home and this is a crucial divisional game. After this week, the Broncos get three straight road games.

QUARTERBACK : The last two home games saw Peyton Manning throw for four touchdowns in each and over 310 yards. At home he’s been a lock for a big game and the Chargers are good enough to prompt the Broncos to create a comfortable lead as early as possible.

RUNNING BACK : Ronnie Hillman scored twice in the win over the 49ers but mostly because Manning already had four touchdowns and anything more would just be showing off. Those where the only touchdowns of the year for Hillman who is rushing around 15 times per game for 60 to 70 yards and adding just a couple of receptions per week. Both C.J. Anderson and Juwan Thompson are limited to a relief role and do not merit projections.

WIDE RECEIVER : No changes here other than both Emmanuel Sanders and Wes Welker scored for the first time all year. Sanders already had three 100 yard games but has recently cooled in yardage. Welker seemed to be written out of the game plan this year and even with his score he still only ended with 41 yards on three catches. Demaryius Thomas is on a three game streak of epic proportions. He’s scored five times over that period and never fallen below 120 yards in any game. His three game total is 521 yards. And that included the defenses of the 49ers and Cardinals.

TIGHT END : Julius Thomas owners finally discovered what it was like to not get a touchdown from your tight end. Thomas was held scoreless for the first time this year and only ended with 27 yards on four catches. He already scored nine times in five games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Chargers CB Brandon Flowers suffered a concussion last week and if he misses this game it only makes Demaryius Thomas even more appealing if that is possible. The Chargers defense was doing really well against the likes of Blake Bortles, E.J. Manuel and Geno Smith but then Derek Carr posted four scores on them just two weeks ago. There is no reason to bench any of your normal Denver starts in any game, much less at home versus a divisional rival.

Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 2 26 2 2 21 12
Preventing Fantasy Points SD 9 20 5 2 1 1

table {
background: #ffffcc; }


More Huddle