Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs ARI

Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs ARI


Game Predictions & Player Projections - DET vs ARI


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Prediction: DET 23, ARI 20 (Line: ARI by 2)

UPDATE: Reggie Bush is expected to be held out this week and Theo Riddick will pick up his workload.

Here is a important game between the 8-1 Cardinals with the best record in the NFL and the 7-2 Lions with the second best record. The Lions are 3-1 in away games while the Cardinals are 5-0 at home. Carson Palmer is gone now but he missed several games along the way. The Lions have won their last four games and the Cardinals won their last five.

The Cardinals won 25-21 when the Lions visited in 2013.

Detroit Lions

1 NYG 35-14 10 MIA 20-16
2 @CAR 7-24 11 @ARI —–
3 GB 19-7 12 @NE —–
4 @NYJ 24-17 13 CHI —–
5 BUF 14-17 14 TB —–
6 @MIN 17-3 15 MIN —–
7 NO 24-23 16 @CHI —–
8 @ATL 22-21 17 @GB —–
9 BYE —–  
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 320,2
RB Theo Riddick 10 5-60
WR Golden Tate 9-110,1
TE Timothy Wright 2-30
PK Matt Prater 3 FG 2 XP

The Lions have a remarkable penchant for games going down to the wire and they won their last three in the final minute. That doesn’t spawn a lot of confidence other than they keep winning. The defense is keeping them in every game and so far have not allowed more than 23 points to anyone. With Calvin Johnson back, the Lions need to work on improving their own offense that has yet to score more than 24 points since the season opener.

QUARTERBACK : While Matthew Stafford rarely has a bad game, he’s fallen short of the elite stats we’ve come to expect. He still has yet to throw for more than two touchdowns in any game but the yardage can end up around 300 in the easier matchups. Missing Calvin Johnson for three weeks did not help but Johnson has played in four full games and yet Stafford still has yet to break that two touchdown mark.

Stafford passed for 278 yards and two scores in Arizona last season.

RUNNING BACK : Reggie Bush returned from his ankle injury but was held to only 20 yards on four runs and one catch for five yards in the win over the Dolphins. HC Jim Caldwell confirmed that Bush suffered another ankle tweak so I will project for a limited Bush this week. Joique Bell produces very moderate stats each week and catches exactly two passes in each of the last five games. He’s scored only three times this year while Bush ran in the only other rushing score. Theo Riddick turned in a touchdown in the last three games that he played which included two road venues. But his role was increased in those weeks because of the injury to Bush.

Bush and Bell combined for just 56 yards on 17 carries in Arizona last year though they totaled 85 yards on eight catches.

WIDE RECEIVER : Corey Fuller only produces two or three sort catches each week. The entirety of the wideout production goes to Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate. Johnson returned after a four game absence and ended with 113 yards and a score on seven catches in the win over the Fins. But he was held to no scores and around 80 yards in his two previous healthy games so there’s plenty of ground that he needs to make up with just three scores on the season. Tate has been perhaps the best free agent acquisition in the NFL this year. He’s turned in five 100 yard games and scored in three of the last five. With defenses focused on Johnson, Tate is cleaning up on the other side. He’s averaged around 120 yards over the last six weeks.

Johnson was held to just 116 yards and two scores on six catches against the Cards in 2013.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. There has not been a tight end catch over the last two games.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Cardinals were shredded by Peyton Manning but that was in Denver. In Arizona, no team has thrown for more than two scores on them though the yardage has been as high as 411 yards. Rushing there is very tough and no runner has topped 100 yards against them all year. This is no place to expect a big game from any of the Lions running backs who already are spotty with yards and scores. CB Patrick Peterson would normally match on Calvin Johnson but Megatron should never sit. Stafford, Johnson and Tate are all good plays this week while the running backs are less attractive.

Gaining Fantasy Points DET 15 12 8 30 25 8
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 16 1 28 27 3 5

Arizona Cardinals

1 SD 18-17 10 STL 31-14
2 @NYG 25-14 11 DET —–
3 SF 23-14 12 @SEA —–
4 BYE —— 13 @ATL —–
5 @DEN 20-41 14 KC —–
6 WAS 30-20 15 @STL —–
7 @OAK 24-13 16 SEA —–
8 PHI 24-20 17 @SF —–
9 @DAL 29-17  
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Stanton 240,1
RB Andre Ellington 50,1 7-60
WR John Brown 2-40,1
WR Larry Fitzgerald 6-50
WR Michael Floyd 5-80
TE Jermaine Gresham 6-40
PK Chandler Catanzaro 2 FG 2 XP

Signing Carson Palmer to a three-year, $50 million extension was a good idea for both days before he blew out his left knee and landed on injured reserve. Now the team has to rally behind Drew Stanton again. The defense has been stellar in all recent games and even the rushing effort had success. But the Cardinals are to hit the meat of their schedule and Palmer could not have chosen a worse time to leave. The Cards face all three divisional foes on the road plus the home meeting with the Seahawks and the Chiefs. If the Cards can keep their record intact through that schedule, then they really will be tough to beat. Chances are best that they won’t remain atop the standings.

QUARTERBACK : Reverting back to Drew Stanton may not seem catastrophic and he did go 2-1 as a starter. But that was with 167 yards and no scores against the Giants, a decent two touchdown effort on the visiting 49ers and then only completing 11 of 26 passes for 118 yards and no scores in Denver. That’s not a lot of positive track record and the confidence that they can still catchup when they fall behind has to take a hit.

Palmer threw for 248 yards and one touchdown on the Lions last year.

RUNNING BACK : Andre Ellington still has not rushed for over 100 yards (though he had 112 receiving yards in Denver) but he’s scored five times in the last six games and offers the dual threat to help keep the chains moving. He’s been good for around 100 total yards in most weeks and scored in the last two home games. No doubt the Cardinals will want to get more from Ellington to compensate for losing Palmer.

The Cards rushed for a combined 89 yards and one score on 23 carries when the Lions visited last year.

WIDE RECEIVER : Larry Fitzgerald has enjoyed a very good year and all his good games coincide exactly with when Palmer was playing. In three starts by Stanton, Fitzgerald ended with 51, 34 and 57 yards with no touchdowns. Michael Floyd recorded a 114 yard effort in the home meeting with the 49ers but only managed a catch for 19 and 7 yards in the road games that occurred on either side of that one decent showing. John Brown caught two touchdowns in the 49ers game – the only two that Stanton threw. But his yardage has been marginal at best and his two non scoring games with Stanton only totaled 32 yards on five receptions. This doesn’t look positive so far for Stanton, at least not on the road and likely not so much at home.

No receiver gained more than 40 yards on the Lions in 2013.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Lions allowed just ten passing scores over the nine games played and most end up with only moderate yardage. Stanton’s past says he’ll stick with that single score and average yardage. There is a chance for a score by Ellington though he won’t turn in a lot of yardage unless he breaks a long run. The Lions rarely give up more than around 60 yards to any runner. Considering the risk, Fitzgerald, Floyd and Brown are all risky plays with a touch of upside. Ellington is a shot for some yardage and possibly a score. Stanton needs to stay on the fantasy bench until he shows up with more than one decent home game to his credit.

Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 21 14 9 29 7 5
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 1 11 1 13 8 11

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