Game Predictions & Player Projections - CIN vs TB

Game Predictions & Player Projections - CIN vs TB


Game Predictions & Player Projections - CIN vs TB


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Prediction: CIN 24, TB 17 (Line: CIN by 4)

UPDATE: Austin Sefarian-Jenkins is still questionable to play this week because of his back and his status won’t be certain until game time. I am removing him from the projections.

The 7-3-1 Bengals remain atop the AFC North by a half game and are on a two game winning streak. The 2-9 Buccaneers are only 0-5 at home. This could be a trap game.

Cincinnati Bengals

1 @BAL 23-16 10 CLE 3-24
2 ATL 24-10 11 @NO 27-10
3 TEN 33-7 12 @HOU 22-13
4 BYE —– 13 @TB —–
5 @NE 17-43 14 PIT —–
6 CAR 37-37 15 @CLE —–
7 @IND 0-27 16 DEN —–
8 BAL 27-24 17 @PIT —–
9 JAC 33-23  
News | Statistics | Roster
CIN @ TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Jared Crick
QB Andy Dalton 230,1
RB Giovani Bernard 50,1 2-20
RB Jeremy Hill 60,1 1-10
WR A.J. Green 6-100,1
WR Brandon LaFell 6-80,1
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 3 XP

This week is the lull for the Bengals facing the Buccaneers before it all gets really serious for the final four games of the season. Both meetings with the Steelers loom plus a trip to Cleveland besides having to host the Broncos. The Bengals are 2-1 in their own division having last lost to the Browns in week ten. This will be the lightest matchup left on the schedule though it comes on the road where the Bengals are just 3-2.

QUARTERBACK : Andy Dalton’s season of decline continues and while he had three scores in New Orleans in week 11, he comes off a more normal 233 yards and one score in Houston. Dalton only has 12 touchdowns on the season against ten interceptions and his yardage has remained below 235 for the last month.

RUNNING BACK : Giovani Bernard returned from his three week absence but was limited to only 45 yards in Houston wile Jeremy Hill ran for 87 yards and a score on 18 carries. Bernard’s four scores this year all came when at home while Hill’s six touchdowns were both on the road and at Cincy. Hill broke 100 rushing yards twice in the three games he played with Bernard. When they are together, they are splitting the workload in half.

WIDE RECEIVER : A.J. Green comes off his fourth 100 yard game this year which oddly happen in road games instead of at home. His four touchdowns also came mostly in away games which bodes well here though Green’s usage ramps up more when the rushing effort is failing. Mohamed Sanu scored last week but only managed 48 yards on five catches in Houston. His role has decreased with A.J. Green back and Sanu was coming off two straight games of 25 yards or less.

TIGHT END : Jermaine Gresham scored twice against the Saints but otherwise has never scored and remains good for only around 30 yards in every game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jaguars are weak against the pass and rank as well as they do because they faced mostly bad passing teams this year. This is where Joe Flacco had a five touchdown game. The Bucs have only allowed one runner to top 100 yards but 11 different running backs have scored on them and most had healthy yardage. Dalton is still a risk to rely on but the matchup makes Green a strong play along with both Bernard and Hill. Sanu could be a desperation flex play but has been mostly quiet with Green back.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 25 12 24 25 14 27
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 19 26 25 16 24 30

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1 CAR 14-20 10 ATL 17-27
2 STL 17-19 11 @WAS 27-7
3 @ATL 14-56 12 @CHI 13-21
4 @PIT 27-24 13 CIN —–
5 @NO 31-37 14 @DET —–
6 BAL 17-48 15 @CAR —–
7 BYE —– 16 GB —–
8 MIN 13-19 17 NO —–
9 @CLE 17-22  
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Doug Martin 30 1-10
RB Charles Sims 40 3-20
WR Mike Evans 6-90,1
WR Vincent Jackson 4-50
WR Louis Murphy 3-30

The Buccaneers just concluded their lightest three game stretch of the season and came away 1-2 for the effort. The offense is mired with an ineffective rushing attack but at least the passing effort has really improved in the last month with the switch back to Josh McCown which reflects more on the schedule than what McCown brought to the table. The offensive line problems sunk this team long ago and should end up their #1 concern in the offseason.

QUARTERBACK : Josh McCown looked pretty good for three weeks against soft secondaries. He threw five touchdowns over that time and passed for more than 285 yards in all three. And that is likely as good as it will get for the rest of the year. His previous two starts at the first of the year resulted in sub-200 yard games.

RUNNING BACK : The return of Doug Martin merely took a bad situation and made it worse. Now Martin is starting and sharing with both Charles Sims and Bobby Rainey so that none of them are gaining more than 30 rushing yards. All three are used for a few catches per game as well. All combined they have only ran in two scores all year. None of these players make a decent fantasy start because they share a meager load thanks to poor blocking.

WIDE RECEIVER : Playing in Chicago makes any quarterback look better and it resulted in Louis Murphy blowing up for 113 yards on six catches when he had roughly that much yardage over the previous five games combined. Vincent Jackson turned in 117 yards on five catches for his first big game in six weeks and he’s still stuck at only two scores since week four. Mike Evans is the golden draft pick and currently #1 rookie wideout in the NFL. He’s caught eight touchdowns over the last seven games and turned in as much as 209 yards in a game. He’s not getting much more targets than Jackson, he just does much more with what he catches.

TIGHT END : Austin Seferian-Jenkins continues his quiet rookie season and is currently battling a sore back that forced him from the game last week. His two scores happened in the most recent home games but he’s been stuck at two or three catches per game.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Bengals pass defense has been good and never allowed more than two passing scores which includes games against Andrew Luck and Drew Brees. Expect a more moderate showing by McCown and for Evans to be the only decent fantasy play for wideouts because the Bengals are ranked #3 against wideouts and have been great shutting down opponents. Evans has upside enough to always be worth a start. What is hard to decide is how well the Bucs might run and who would benefit. The Bengals have already allowed 12 touchdowns to running backs but the Bucs are going to split it all up. There should be some success here but who gets it is just a risk to rely on.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 16 30 9 26 27 13
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 8 27 3 26 21 10

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