Game Predictions & Player Projections - NO vs PIT

Game Predictions & Player Projections - NO vs PIT


Game Predictions & Player Projections - NO vs PIT


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Prediction: NO 24, PIT 30 (Line: PIT by 3)

The 4-7 Saints are on a three game losing streak and yet, incredibly, are tied for the NFC South lead with the Falcons. The are only 1-4 in road games. The 7-4 Steelers are in the thick of the AFC North race and are 4-1 at home. This game promises to provide a lot of fantasy points. The Steelers take this because the Saints cannot hope to score as many points as they give away on the road against a decent team.

New Orleans Saints

1 @ATL 34-37 10 SF 24-27
2 @CLE 24-26 11 CIN 10-27
3 MIN 20-9 12 BAL 27-34
4 @DAL 17-38 13 @PIT —–
5 TB 37-31 14 CAR —–
6 BYE —– 15 @CHI —–
7 @DET 23-24 16 ATL —–
8 GB 44-23 17 @TB —–
9 @CAR 29-10  
News | Statistics | Roster
NO @ PIT Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 300,3
RB Mark Ingram 60 2-20
TE Coby Fleener 2-30
PK Kai Forbath 1 FG 2 XP
PK Josh Scobee 1 FG 2 XP

It is starting to seem like Rob Ryan’s defenses are like British sports cars. They seem exciting from a distance, occasionally flash past and make you admire it and then when you need it most it always breaks down. The fact that the Saints are tied for the division lead at 4-7 only adds to the surreal nature of the Saints this year. This week is as tough as it will get but in the end all that will matter is beating the Falcons in week 16. This is not the same team from years past but at least the offense still generates plenty of fantasy points.

QUARTERBACK : Drew Brees still scores every week and comes off a season best 420 yards and three touchdowns versus the Ravens. His yardage has remained solid every week and he usually scores two or three times and while that is good enough for fantasy purposes, the Saints are back to being unable to generate as many points as their defense gives away. Brees is averaging 317 yards per week.

RUNNING BACK : Mark Ingram’s impressive season has taken a down turn lately with no scores since week nine and only 42 total yards in the loss to the Ravens. Pierre Thomas is back and not only rushing five times for 19 yards, he caught six passes for 37 yards last week. Ingram went from seven receptions in week 11 to only two for 15 yards in week 12. Ingram’s production had remained high while playing against the 49ers, Packers and Bengals. But he wasn’t good enough to still produce well against the Ravens.

WIDE RECEIVER : With Brandin Books out for the season, Kenny Stills stepped in and ended with a season high 98 yards on eight catches while Marques Colston had his best fantasy game of the year with four receptions for 82 yards and one touchdown. Josh Morgan also showed up with a 67-yard run and a 62-yard catch though he had no other touches in the game. Stills won’t be as good as Cooks but at least he’s stepping to fill in the hole in the offense and generating all better fantasy stats,

TIGHT END : While Jimmy Graham scored twice last week, and nine times for the season, his yardage has gone down this year and and exceeded 60 yards only twice in the last seven games. He’s scored six times in the last five weeks and remains an elite tight end but is just short of his previous yardage totals.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Unfortunately, the Steelers are getting back SS Troy Polamalu (knee), ILB Ryan Shazier (ankle) and CB Ike Taylor (arm) this week and that will help the defense that has been decimated by injury. The Steelers have allowed multiple touchdown to every visiting quarterback alone with high yardage. The rushing defense has also waned but will get some upgrade with the return of Polamalu and Shazier. Brees, Graham and Ingram are must starts here though their outlook is less than it has in home games. Colston and Stills are moderate starts with upside.

Gaining Fantasy Points NO 4 2 13 2 15 30
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 15 11 12 19 28 16

Pittsburgh Steelers

1 CLE 30-27 10 @NYJ 13-20
2 @BAL 6-26 11 @TEN 27-24
3 @CAR 37-19 12 BYE —–
4 TB 24-27 13 NO —–
5 @JAC 17-9 14 @CIN —–
6 @CLE 10-31 15 @ATL —–
7 HOU 30-23 16 KC —–
8 IND 51-34 17 CIN —–
9 BAL 43-23  
News | Statistics | Roster
PIT vs NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger 300,2
RB Le’Veon Bell 120,1 3-20
RB DeAngelo Williams 30 2-10
WR Antonio Brown 9-110,1
WR Martavis Bryant 5-70,1
WR Markus Wheaton 4-50
TE Heath Miller 3-40
PK Shaun Suisham 3 FG 3 XP

The Steelers come off their bye with several defensive players returning and that will help but this season has been one of inconsistency. After rolling up major wins over the Colts and Ravens, they lost to the Jets and almost lose in Tennessee. Chalk those up to a tired team that should be refreshed now. After trading games with the Ravens and Browns, the division is going to come down to what happens in the two remaining matchups with the Bengals.

QUARTERBACK : After two weeks with six touchdowns in each, Ben Roethlisberger calmed down to only one touchdown in each of the last two games. Playing at home has been far better for Big Ben who scored 17 touchdowns in just the last four home stands along with ridiculous yardage. Facing one of the worst secondaries is not going to do much to change his strong trend in home games.

RUNNING BACK : LeGarrette Blount was sent packing last week after failing to play well with the other kids and OC Todd Haley made no apologies for intending on riding Le’Veon Bell hard the rest of the season. Bell comes off a career best 204 yards on 33 carries and one score in Tennessee. Bell is worth 100 total yards in almost every game and without Blount there to steal five to ten carries, more big games could be on the way. Bell has only four touchdowns on the year and two of those were via receptions.

WIDE RECEIVER : Antonio Brown needed the bye to rest up from his stellar season. He already scored nine times and topped 90 yards in all but two games. He has been particularly deadly in all home venues. Martavis Bryant scored six times in his first four games but then settled for only two catches for 11 yards in Tennessee while Bell was running all over the Titans. Markus Wheaton scored in those two monster games by Roethlisberger but has otherwise been very quiet all year.

TIGHT END : Heath Miller had two monster games – both at home – but otherwise minimal production each week. He left Tennessee with a healthy 71 yards on five catches. Miller is just as likely to only have one short catch as he is to score a touchdown.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Saints rank poorly against the pass and the run. That has ended up as giving away three games of three passing scores and twice allowing 400+ yards. And yet the rushing defense has been poor as well as Justin Forsett showed last week when he ran for 182 yards and two scores in New Orleans. Big Ben is a decent start this week and should post at least two scores. Antonio Brown will catch one if not both. Bell is a must start with a nice chance for both yardage and a score. Bryant can be considered but he is still a bit of a risk and more so here because Brown will get his, Bell will get his and then how much is left over?

Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 6 7 3 17 10 11
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 23 22 27 1 26 22

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