Predictions Summary Projections by Position Projection Team Boxes

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Prediction: NYJ 9, MIA 20 (Line: MIA by 5.5)

UPDATE: Percy Harvin is a game-time decision because of his ribs. I am not adding him into the projection but there is still a chance he may be active.

This is a replay of week 13 when the Dolphins won 16-13 in New York. The Jets are only 1-6 on the road and Miami is 4-3 at home.

Yet another lost season for the Jets who never managed to create an offense that could compete and while the defensive front remains one of the best in the NFL, the secondary became one of the worst so that all every opponent had to do was toss it over the head of the defensive line. There will be a change in coaching staff and likely personnel. To their credit, the Jets have never quit on the season with every reason to do it. But in the end, it doesn’t matter how well the defense does if your offense can never match it.

QUARTERBACK : Geno Smith ends the year with the idea he starts in week one next season but that remains to be determined. Smith trudged through another bad year with only ten passing touchdowns and overall the worst fantasy points of any quarterback unit in the NFL. Smith only completed seven of 13 passes for 65 yards and one interception against the Dolphins in week 13.

RUNNING BACK : Another below average unit that splits the workload into two. Chris Ivory offered marginal fantasy stats each week and while he scored six times, he only managed one touchdown in the last seven games. He ran for 62 yards on 16 carries in week 13 while Chris Johnson had a season best 105 yards on 17 runs. He has since returned to the sub-50 yard rock he hides under and Ivory is only marginally better.

WIDE RECEIVER : Percy Harvin will miss the final game with sore ribs and made no real impact on the Jets aside from one freakish game in Kansas City. Harvin only had one catch for six yards versus the Fins this year while Eric Decker was held to 18 yards on two catches. Decker’s transfer to the Jets is a dramatic display of the difference between playing with the best quarterback to playing with the worst quarterback. Decker scored four times this year but never since week nine.

TIGHT END : No fantasy value. Occasional touchdown with no warning and never much yardage.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Chances are the Jets get a late score when it doesn’t matter but there is nothing on this team that appears fantasy relevant in week 17. Decker and Ivory could be plays for some moderate yardage at best.

A win here gives the Dolphins a .500 season thanks to an exciting comeback win over the Vikings in a game that shouldn’t have been nearly that exciting. The vaunted Dolphins defense has really declined with the only opponent in the last five games scoring less than 28 points were these Jets. No matter, this week should play out even better than it did in New York.

QUARTERBACK : Ryan Tannehill ends a successful season that still did not dispel him as a dink-n-dunk passer who cannot handle the long ball. But he still threw for 26 touchdowns and topped 300 yards in each of his last two games. Tannehill passed for 235 yards and no scores against the Jets in week 13 for his only non-scoring game.

RUNNING BACK : Lamar Miller scored once in New York and ran for 56 yards on 13 carries. He’s scored seven times this season and while he only has one game with more than 100 rushing yards, he is down more as a receiver in recent games and producing fantasy value. Miller ran for 92 yards and a score last week versus the visiting Vikings and caught five passes for 58 yards. He had five catches in the previous home game as well. Damien Williams is the new #2 with Daniel Thomas finally put on the shelf but Miller gets nearly all the action.

WIDE RECEIVER : Brian Hartline has been completely phased out of the offense by now and Jarvis Landry is the starter who caught eight passes for 68 yards in New York and remains solid in yardage in most games. Mike Wallace turned in six receptions for 69 yards on the Jets and has a team high ten touchdowns this year including two just last week versus the Vikings. This is only an average group and Wallace is the only every week fantasy play. Landry is making progress though.

TIGHT END : Charles Clay did not play in the last meeting with the Jets but Dion Sims ended with four catches for 58 yards for his own season best. Clay only scored twice this year but has been the best at yardage and even rolled up a season best 114 yards on six catches just last week.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Jets are going to slow down the rushing effort and Miller doesn’t need much adversity to be slowed down. Tannehill should throw for a score this time if not two. Landry and Wallace deserve some consideration and even Clay could be better than usual.

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