2015 Receiving Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game |
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20 Best Matchups |
20 Worst Matchups |
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@PIT | 60.9 | BAL | 43.8 |
@NO | 60.8 | @MIA | 43.6 |
@NYG | 57.9 | SD | 43.6 |
PHI | 57.4 | @NE | 43.0 |
TB | 56.4 | @DAL | 42.7 |
JAC | 55.2 | @CAR | 42.5 |
@TEN | 54.7 | @KC | 42.1 |
@BAL | 54.5 | @SEA | 41.9 |
WAS | 53.9 | @ARI | 41.8 |
NO | 53.8 | @SD | 41.1 |
IND | 53.2 | @SF | 41.0 |
NE | 53.2 | @HOU | 39.7 |
SF | 52.9 | @NYJ | 39.2 |
PIT | 52.1 | @GB | 38.5 |
@CLE | 52.1 | DEN | 38.5 |
DET | 51.3 | SEA | 38.0 |
KC | 51.3 | CHI | 36.6 |
@DET | 51.1 | @ATL | 36.0 |
OAK | 50.9 | DAL | 35.9 |
CIN | 50.7 | @DEN | 35.7 |
The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and then applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen – facing each defense either home or away.
To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.
MORE FANTASY STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE |
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Quarterbacks |
Running Backs |
Running Backs with PPR |
Receivers |
Receivers with PPR |
Three different views are given below – Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule – “draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks”.
This analysis considers both tight ends and wide receivers awarded 0.1 points per received yard and six point touchdowns along with one point per reception.
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Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season) | Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule) | Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs) | |||||||||
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SOS | Good | Bad | SOS | Good | Bad | SOS | Good | Bad | |||
BAL | 5 | 8 | 3 | BAL | 4 | 4 | 0 | DAL | 3 | 3 | 0 |
CHI | 4 | 7 | 3 | OAK | 3 | 4 | 1 | CHI | 2 | 2 | 0 |
DAL | 4 | 8 | 4 | WAS | 3 | 4 | 1 | HOU | 2 | 2 | 0 |
PHI | 3 | 5 | 2 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 0 | PHI | 2 | 2 | 0 |
BUF | 2 | 5 | 3 | ARI | 1 | 2 | 1 | BAL | 1 | 2 | 1 |
CIN | 2 | 7 | 5 | BUF | 1 | 2 | 1 | BUF | 1 | 1 | 0 |
DEN | 2 | 5 | 3 | CAR | 1 | 3 | 2 | CIN | 1 | 2 | 1 |
NYG | 2 | 7 | 5 | CHI | 1 | 3 | 2 | DEN | 1 | 2 | 1 |
PIT | 2 | 5 | 3 | NE | 1 | 2 | 1 | SD | 1 | 2 | 1 |
WAS | 2 | 5 | 3 | NO | 1 | 2 | 1 | TB | 1 | 2 | 1 |
CAR | 1 | 5 | 4 | PIT | 1 | 2 | 1 | ATL | 0 | 1 | 1 |
CLE | 1 | 5 | 4 | ATL | 0 | 2 | 2 | CLE | 0 | 1 | 1 |
DET | 1 | 5 | 4 | CLE | 0 | 2 | 2 | IND | 0 | 0 | 0 |
MIN | 1 | 4 | 3 | DEN | 0 | 1 | 1 | KC | 0 | 1 | 1 |
OAK | 1 | 5 | 4 | DET | 0 | 1 | 1 | LA | 0 | 1 | 1 |
ATL | 0 | 4 | 4 | GB | 0 | 1 | 1 | MIN | 0 | 1 | 1 |
HOU | 0 | 5 | 5 | HOU | 0 | 2 | 2 | NO | 0 | 1 | 1 |
ARI | -1 | 5 | 6 | MIN | 0 | 1 | 1 | NYG | 0 | 1 | 1 |
GB | -1 | 3 | 4 | SD | 0 | 2 | 2 | WAS | 0 | 0 | 0 |
JAC | -1 | 4 | 5 | SEA | 0 | 1 | 1 | ARI | -1 | 1 | 2 |
KC | -1 | 5 | 6 | TEN | 0 | 2 | 2 | CAR | -1 | 0 | 1 |
MIA | -1 | 3 | 4 | JAC | -1 | 1 | 2 | DET | -1 | 1 | 2 |
SD | -1 | 5 | 6 | KC | -1 | 1 | 2 | GB | -1 | 0 | 1 |
SEA | -1 | 3 | 4 | MIA | -1 | 1 | 2 | JAC | -1 | 0 | 1 |
TEN | -1 | 4 | 5 | NYG | -1 | 2 | 3 | MIA | -1 | 0 | 1 |
IND | -2 | 4 | 6 | NYJ | -1 | 2 | 3 | OAK | -1 | 1 | 2 |
NYJ | -2 | 5 | 7 | DAL | -2 | 1 | 3 | PIT | -1 | 0 | 1 |
LA | -3 | 3 | 6 | LA | -2 | 1 | 3 | SEA | -1 | 0 | 1 |
NE | -3 | 3 | 6 | CIN | -3 | 1 | 4 | SF | -1 | 0 | 1 |
NO | -3 | 4 | 7 | IND | -3 | 1 | 4 | NE | -2 | 0 | 2 |
SF | -3 | 3 | 6 | SF | -3 | 0 | 3 | NYJ | -2 | 0 | 2 |
TB | -7 | 3 | 10 | TB | -4 | 0 | 4 | TEN | -2 | 0 | 2 |
Notable Schedules
Kamar Aiken/Mike Wallace (Ravens) – Steve Smith will remain the #1 target assuming the 37-year-old wideout can remain healthy. Aiken already had 75 catches for 944 yards in 2015. Mike Wallace comes over from the Vikings where he slumped inside one of the NFL’s least productive passing offenses. But 2016 serves up the most advantageous schedule with four great venues in the first six weeks and ending with tilts against the Eagles and at the Steelers. A healthy Ravens team should be a lock to improve over last year.
Alshon Jeffery/Kevin White (Bears) – Jeffery needs no real help to excel other than a healthy stretch of games. But White lost his rookie season to a severe shin splint after being the second wideout drafted in 2015 (1.07). He wasn’t hard to hype this year anyway and now starts his career with one of the best schedules in the league. After Week 7, White will not face any of the toughest 20 venues from last year and ends the fantasy season with four of his final five games at home.
Dez Bryant/Terrance Williams (Cowboys) – This is nicely timed for Bryant who lost most of 2015 with a foot injury after recording 1320 yards and 16 touchdowns the previous year. Williams had a career best season but without Tony Romo the Cowboys offense struggled to pass. Now that the band is back together, they’ll face a fairly tough schedule through the Week 8 bye but then seven of the final nine games face easier venues. For Bryant, ending the fantasy season at the Giants and then against the visiting Buccaneers and Lions will make up for any lost confidence. The window for a championship may be closing in Dallas but the schedule will make 2016 one more good year.
Mike Evans/Vincent Jackson (Buccaneers) – Evans spent time with Jameis Winston to hone their chemistry and correct his NFL-leading tendency to drop passes. And Jackson comes off one of his worst seasons in part because of a shoulder injury. But trying to improve their combined 107 receptions for 1749 yards and just six touchdowns will be a challenge against the worst schedule for receivers in the NFL. Their only bright spot comes at the end of the year when they face the Saints twice. Otherwise, they’ll square off against ten of the worst venues that include the defenses of the Cardinals, Broncos, Panthers, Chiefs and Seahawks.
Week – By – Week
Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
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ARI | NE | TB | @BUF | LA | @SF | NYJ | SEA | @CAR | BYE | SF | @MIN | @ATL | WAS | @MIA | NO | @SEA |
ATL | TB | @OAK | @NO | CAR | @DEN | @SEA | SD | GB | @TB | @PHI | BYE | ARI | KC | @LA | SF | @CAR |
BAL | BUF | @CLE | @JAC | OAK | WAS | @NYG | @NYJ | BYE | PIT | CLE | @DAL | CIN | MIA | @NE | PHI | @PIT |
BUF | @BAL | NYJ | ARI | @NE | @LA | SF | @MIA | NE | @SEA | BYE | @CIN | JAC | @OAK | PIT | CLE | MIA |
CAR | @DEN | SF | MIN | @ATL | TB | @NO | BYE | ARI | @LA | KC | NO | @OAK | @SEA | SD | @WAS | ATL |
CHI | @HOU | PHI | @DAL | DET | @IND | JAC | @GB | MIN | BYE | @TB | @NYG | TEN | SF | @DET | GB | WAS |
CIN | @NYJ | @PIT | DEN | MIA | @DAL | @NE | CLE | WAS | BYE | @NYG | BUF | @BAL | PHI | @CLE | PIT | @HOU |
CLE | @PHI | BAL | @MIA | @WAS | NE | @TEN | @CIN | NYJ | DAL | @BAL | PIT | NYG | BYE | CIN | @BUF | SD |
DAL | NYG | @WAS | CHI | @SF | CIN | @GB | BYE | PHI | @CLE | @PIT | BAL | WAS | @MIN | @NYG | TB | DET |
DEN | CAR | IND | @CIN | @TB | ATL | @SD | HOU | SD | @OAK | @NO | BYE | KC | @JAC | @TEN | NE | @KC |
DET | @IND | TEN | @GB | @CHI | PHI | LA | WAS | @HOU | @MIN | BYE | JAC | MIN | @NO | CHI | @NYG | @DAL |
GB | @JAC | @MIN | DET | BYE | NYG | DAL | CHI | @ATL | IND | @TEN | @WAS | @PHI | HOU | SEA | @CHI | MIN |
HOU | CHI | KC | @NE | TEN | @MIN | IND | @DEN | DET | BYE | @JAC | @OAK | SD | @GB | @IND | JAC | CIN |
IND | DET | @DEN | SD | @JAC | CHI | @HOU | @TEN | KC | @GB | BYE | TEN | PIT | @NYJ | HOU | @MIN | @OAK |
JAC | GB | @SD | BAL | IND | BYE | @CHI | OAK | @TEN | @KC | HOU | @DET | @BUF | DEN | MIN | @HOU | TEN |
KC | SD | @HOU | NYJ | @PIT | BYE | @OAK | NO | @IND | JAC | @CAR | TB | @DEN | @ATL | OAK | TEN | DEN |
LA | @SF | SEA | @TB | @ARI | BUF | @DET | NYG | BYE | CAR | @NYJ | MIA | @NO | @NE | ATL | @SEA | SF |
MIA | @SEA | @NE | CLE | @CIN | TEN | PIT | BUF | BYE | NYJ | @SD | @LA | SF | @BAL | ARI | @NYJ | @BUF |
MIN | @TEN | GB | @CAR | NYG | HOU | BYE | @PHI | @CHI | DET | @WAS | ARI | @DET | DAL | @JAC | IND | @GB |
NE | @ARI | MIA | HOU | BUF | @CLE | CIN | @PIT | @BUF | BYE | SEA | @SF | @NYJ | LA | BAL | @DEN | NYJ |
NO | OAK | @NYG | ATL | @SD | BYE | CAR | @KC | SEA | @SF | DEN | @CAR | LA | DET | @TB | @ARI | TB |
NYG | @DAL | NO | WAS | @MIN | @GB | BAL | @LA | BYE | PHI | CIN | CHI | @CLE | @PIT | DAL | DET | @PHI |
NYJ | CIN | @BUF | @KC | SEA | @PIT | @ARI | BAL | @CLE | @MIA | LA | BYE | NE | IND | @SF | MIA | @NE |
OAK | @NO | ATL | @TEN | @BAL | SD | KC | @JAC | @TB | DEN | BYE | HOU | CAR | BUF | @KC | @SD | IND |
PHI | CLE | @CHI | PIT | BYE | @DET | @WAS | MIN | @DAL | @NYG | ATL | @SEA | GB | @CIN | WAS | @BAL | NYG |
PIT | @WAS | CIN | @PHI | KC | NYJ | @MIA | NE | BYE | @BAL | DAL | @CLE | @IND | NYG | @BUF | @CIN | BAL |
SD | @KC | JAC | @IND | NO | @OAK | DEN | @ATL | @DEN | TEN | MIA | BYE | @HOU | TB | @CAR | OAK | @CLE |
SEA | MIA | @LA | SF | @NYJ | BYE | ATL | @ARI | @NO | BUF | @NE | PHI | @TB | CAR | @GB | LA | ARI |
SF | LA | @CAR | @SEA | DAL | ARI | @BUF | TB | BYE | NO | @ARI | NE | @MIA | @CHI | NYJ | @ATL | @LA |
TB | @ATL | @ARI | LA | DEN | @CAR | BYE | @SF | OAK | ATL | CHI | @KC | SEA | @SD | NO | @DAL | @NO |
TEN | MIN | @DET | OAK | @HOU | @MIA | CLE | IND | JAC | @SD | GB | @IND | @CHI | BYE | DEN | @KC | @JAC |
WAS | PIT | DAL | @NYG | CLE | @BAL | PHI | @DET | @CIN | BYE | MIN | GB | @DAL | @ARI | @PHI | CAR | @CHI |
MORE FANTASY STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE |
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Quarterbacks |
Running Backs |
Running Backs with PPR |
Receivers |
Receivers with PPR |