Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 4

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 4

DFS - Daily Fantasy Football player picks and tips

Daily Sleepers and Value Plays: Week 4


One of the most frustrating parts of DFS is not being able to fit all of your star players under the designated salary. Each week The Huddle will look at several value picks and sleepers at each position that could help you free up some valuable cap space for the studs you want to play.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $7200 12% 15.5%
DraftKings $5700 11.4% 15.6%

As the game of DFS continues to develop, we are seeing less and less of the cheap QB. Gone are the days where you could pay under 10% for a QB and pick between a few struggling rookies. This week, Prescott and the Cowboys take on a 49ers defense that boasts the 18th best pass defense in the league. The Huddle is predicting a very conservative 220 passing yards + 1 passing TD, and another 20/1TD on the ground for Prescott. Considering that Brees money might buy you an extra 100/1TD (~8 points), I love the value of Prescott as a starting QB this week, especially because I think he has a higher ceiling.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $7400 12.3% 15.5%
DraftKings $5400 10.8% 15.6%

I don’t think anyone is expecting last week’s lights out performance from Siemian, but the playbook has been opened up for him and we are ready to take advantage. The almost 2% difference between FD and DK is a big one when we’re talking about a 5% margin from Cam/Brees – so the value on Siemian is definitely better in Draft Kings. Tampa Bay’s pass defense has given up some yardage through the air so far this season, and with a healthy Demaryius Thomas and Emanuel Sanders, Siemian will have plenty of opportunities.

Other Considerations:  Brian Hoyer ($6000/$5000) is once again the cheapest starting QB this week, and his matchup isn’t half bad. The Detroit Lions gave up a lot of big plays to Aaron Rodgers on Sunday, and Hoyer has Jeffery and White at his disposal. The price tag is probably do to Cutler’s day-to-day status. If Cutler does play, look to rookie Cody Kessler ($6300/$5000), who is a little bit more expensive than Hoyer, but still cheaper than Cutler. It sure feels like the “other considerations” section has become a “which Bear or Brown do I take a flier on this week” section…


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6100 10.1% 14.5%
DraftKings $4500 9% 15.6%

Coleman has touched the ball 42 times in 3 games – that’s 14 times a game. On Monday Night Football, he put on a goal line showcase, punching the ball in three times. While it’s unlikely we’ll see another hat trick from Coleman this season, he has become an integral part of the Falcons’ offensive attack and should continue to see goal line work. In DK lineups he receives a full 1 PPR, making him (and his 9% price tag) a great flex option for your Week 4 lineup. In Fan Duel leagues, don’t hesitate to slot him in as your RB2, freeing up some cap space for someone like Le’Veon Bell or Julio Jones. The Panthers have a chip on their shoulder after dropping to the Vikings last week, so if the Falcons fall behind early, we could see less Freeman and more Coleman on passing downs as well.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5600 9.3% 14.5%
DraftKings $3700 7.4% 15.6%

It’s not a flashy pick, and is likely one that many other players will go with as well, because it looks like the Bears don’t have many other choices for the time being. Last week the Lions gave up 100 yards to Eddie Lacy, and this week Howard takes Soldier Field as the de facto starting running back, thanks to Langford’s 4-6 week absence, and Carey still nursing a hurt hamstring. While there was already early talk of Howard eventually supplanting Langford as the team’s starting running back, he will now have the chance to show what he can do as a three-down back. And let’s face it, three-down backs are a rarity in today’s NFL– so if you can get your RB2 for under 10% of your salary, and know that he’ll be on the field almost every snap… that’s a pretty good gamble.

Other Considerations:  Orleans Darkwa ($4500/$3000) With Shane Vereen headed to the IR and Rashad Jennings still recovering from a thumb injury, Darkwa should be in line for an increased load in the Giants’ offense. Bobby Rainey will see extra work in the passing attack, and Darkwa will be their short yardage and goal line specialist. It’s a risk – but the payoff could be pretty substantial if he gets the goal line carries that count.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6400 10.6% 15.6%
DraftKings $4400 8.8% 19.4%

The Saints continue to have one of the worst passing defenses in the league, and Williams has 20 targets from Phillip Rivers over the first three games of the season. The Falcons proved on Monday night that you don’t have to be Julio Jones to run rampant through the Saints’ secondary, so Williams should be in store for some great numbers at a WR2/WR3 cost. The Huddle has Williams ranked as the 6th overall WR heading into Week 4, projecting him at 6 catches for 100 yards and a TD. In my opinion, the ceiling could be much higher.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6000 10% 15.6%
DraftKings $4200 8.4% 19.4%

Crowder has proven over the past three weeks that despite a very crowded receiving corps with DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon, Jordan Reed, and Chris Thompson, there’s still room for Crowder to make an impact. Kirk Cousins has already looked Crowder’s way 25 times this season, and the Browns’ 28th ranked passing defense should provide lots of room for more production underneath the coverage. He’s costing on the high side of a WR3 in Fan Duel leagues, but as a WR2, especially in DK leagues with the price/1PPR, he should grab at the very least 5 catches for 50+ yards.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $5000 8.3% 15.6%
DraftKings $3000 6% 19.4%

Humphries plays an interesting role in the Buccaneers’ offense that is very similar to what Crowder does in Washington and Cole Beasley in Dallas – lots of short/intermediate crossing routes that could be broken open for big gains. Like Crowder, Humphries also has 25 targets through three weeks and is a great WR3 option for both Fan Duel and Draft Kings leagues. With the exit of Austin Seferian Jenkins, it looks like the goal line passes will go to Cameron Brate, but the third down and short yardage situations will benefit Humphries even more now.


Website Cost % of Cap #1’s % of Cap
FanDuel $6400 10.6% 13.1%
DraftKings $4000 8% 13%

There’s the Jimmy Graham we’ve been waiting to see! His value this week is a little more in question as we wait to see the shape Russel Wilson will be in, but it looks like the Seahawks coaching staff and Wilson are figuring out the best way to take advantage of the big tight end’s talent. The Jets have been generous to the pass so far this season, and if Boykin has had an entire week to work with Graham, the chemistry should be better this week (Graham went without a catch in the 4th quarter on Sunday). The talent and the upside are well worth the price tag for Sunday, especially if Boykin needs help in short passing situations against an aggressive Jets defense.

Other Considerations: Jacob Tamme ($5,500/$3,400) Tamme has been a breath of fresh air in the Falcons’ offense, and while he didn’t have that impressive of an outing against the Saints, the Panthers let Kyle Rudolph have his way on Sunday. Expect the Falcons coaching staff to watch the game film and find the best way to get Tamme the ball down the seam and in the Red Zone, which should lead to some nice savings for you.


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