Everyone knows to start studs in DFS. What can bring home the money in is finding players who will produce at a lower salary that might not be on many lineup cards. Each week we’ll release our top DFS value plays and bargain basement plays to help fill out your lineups.
Week 8 Recap (Points are based on DraftKings scoring)
Andy Dalton: 18.7
Josh McCown: 18.3
Chris Thompson: 16.4
Jalen Richard: 9.7
Devin Funchess: 3.1
Mohamed Sanu: 19.4
Jared Cook: 9.7
Tyler Kroft: 9.6
Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams ($5,200 DraftKings) ($7,600 FanDuel)
Goff is coming off a bye and he faces a Giants defense that will be without its No. 1 cornerback Janoris Jenkins. Jenkins was suspended for violating team rules.
The Giants defense hasn’t been awful this season but it also hasn’t been the dominating unit it was in 2016. New York’s defense is allowing the 10th most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks on DraftKings (20.9) and the 12th most on FanDuel (19.5). The No. 1 ranked pass defense last year, the Giants are allowing 269 yards a game through the year this season.
Goff has scored at least 18 DK points in four games. He’s projected to have low ownership this week but with the Giants down their best cornerback, Goff is worth a shot at his low salary.
Bargain Basement Play
Jacoby Brissett, Indianapolis Colts ($5,200 DraftKings) ($6,500 FanDuel)
Brissett isn’t Andrew Luck but he’s been a strong DFS play when the matchup is favorable. The matchup is favorable this week.
The Texans defense allows the seventh most fantasy PPG to quarterbacks on DraftKings (22.0) and the eighth most on FanDuel (20.5). Three different quarterbacks have gone over 300 yards against the Texans this season and in those games, Houston’s defense has given up a combined 12 touchdown passes.
Brissett runs hot and cold. He has four games with at least 14 DK points. In his other four games, Brissett has 12 or fewer DK points. The Texans are the highest scoring team in the NFL right now, so Brissett is going to need to put the ball in the air this week. He has a high ceiling in a game with a total set at 50.
Adrian Peterson, Arizona Cardinals ($5,600 DraftKings) ($6,800 FanDuel)
Peterson has had one big game and one stinker with the Cardinals. With Carson Palmer out, the Cardinals offense is going to run through Peterson. He has the matchup to put up big numbers on Sunday.
The 49ers defense allows 113 yards rushing per game. San Francisco gives up the most fantasy PPG to opposing running backs (DraftKings 32.6, FanDuel 28.6). The 49ers defense has allowed 10 total touchdowns to the running back position so far this season.
Peterson had a good matchup in his last game against the Rams too but finished with just 21 yards on 11 carries. However, the Cardinals got behind early and had to ditch the running game. With Arizona and San Francisco both using backup quarterbacks, neither offense is expected to put up a lot of points on Sunday. Peterson is a good bet to see 20+ carries.
Bargain Basement Play
Orleans Darkwa, New York Giants ($3,800 DraftKings) ($5,400 FanDuel)
Darkwa is coming off back-to-back games against two of the NFL’s toughest rush defenses in Denver and Seattle. He ripped the Broncos for 117 yards on 21 carries. Darkwa gained just 35 yards against the Seahawks but he saw only nine attempts after the Giants fell behind in the second half.
Darkwa has a much easier matchup on Sunday. The Rams are allowing the sixth most fantasy PPG to running backs on DraftKings (29.3) and the fourth most on FanDuel (26.0). Los Angeles’ defense gives up an average of 107.6 yards and 1.0 touchdowns per game to running backs.
Darkwa only has double-digit carries in one game this year but he was on his way to having a big game against the Chargers in Week 5 (8-69-1) before leaving with an injury. Wayne Gallman took over and rushed for 57 yards on 11 carries. If Darkwa hadn’t gotten hurt, there’s a good chance he would have over 100 yards in two of his last three games. He’s being vastly undervalued this week.
Sterling Shepard, New York Giants ($5,200 DraftKings) ($5,900 FanDuel)
The Giants are coming out of their bye week and Shepard is expected to return from a sprained ankle. He’ll be by far Eli Manning’s No. 1 receiver as long as he remains healthy.
While Shepard may not be a true No. 1 receiver, he should make a big fantasy impact by volume alone. Shepard already has at least five receptions in three games this season. Expect that number to rise with the Giants down to practice squad players and street free agents at the other receiver spots.
This week Shepard gets a Rams defense that has been tough against receivers this year but given his expected usage and low ownership numbers, Shepard is a strong low-priced receiver play.
Bargain Basement Play
Paul Richardson, Seattle Seahawks ($4,700 DraftKings) ($5,800 FanDuel)
Richardson had a big game against the Texans catching 6 of 7 targets for 105 yards and two touchdowns. He had a third touchdown called back because of a penalty. Richardson has scored three touchdowns in his last two games and he has five scores in seven games. Russell Wilson isn’t going to throw for 452 yards every week and Richardson’s value is tied to scoring but he’s showing a knack for finding the end zone.
The Redskins have good overall numbers against receivers but with Josh Norman back he’ll be focusing most of his attention on Doug Baldwin. The Seahawks can’t run the ball at all, so Richardson should once again be heavily involved in Seattle’s offense this week.
Richardson has scored 14.1 and 31.5 DK points in his last two games. His ownership numbers are projected to be solid but at such a low salary, he’s worth it if you need a cheaper option to round out your roster.
Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts ($4,300 DraftKings) ($5,700 FanDuel)
Doyle had a monster game last Sunday catching 12 of 14 targets for 121 yards and a touchdown. Over his last three games, Doyle has 25 catches for 214 yards and two touchdowns on 32 targets. Doyle has clearly become Brissett’s favorite target.
Doyle should keep things rolling this week against the Texans. Houston’s defense allows the 11th most fantasy PPG to tight ends on DraftKings (14.9) and the 10th most on FanDuel (12.1). Houston has allowed three touchdowns to tight ends in its last two games.
Doyle doesn’t have a huge ceiling but he’s scored at least 10 DK points in three straight games and four of seven overall. He’s a safe tight end play with a good matchup and a low salary.
Bargain Basement Play
Vernon Davis, Washington Redskins ($4,100 DraftKings) ($5,400 FanDuel)
In the least surprising news of the 2017 season, Jordan Reed is dealing with a hamstring injury. He’s expected to miss Sunday’s game against the Seahawks. Davis replaced Reed last week and caught two passes for 20 yards against the Cowboys but weather was a big factor. He’s produced in the past when filling in for Reed. Davis will have a big role in a Redskins offense that lacks weapons at receiver.
Davis doesn’t have a great matchup this week against the Seahawks but it’s easier to attack Seattle’s defense with tight ends and running backs than it is with average receivers. The Seahawks shut down the Texans tight ends last week but in their prior two games, Seattle allowed 10 receptions for 158 yards and a touchdown to tight ends.
Davis has already topped 10 DK points three times this season. He has one of the highest projected ceilings of any tight end this week despite the tough matchup on paper.
Philadelphia Eagles ($3,300 DraftKings) ($5,200 FanDuel)
It depends where you play but on DraftKings the Eagles are a bargain. Not so much on FanDuel. The Eagles defense hosts a struggling Broncos offense making a quarterback change. Better yet, that change is to Brock Osweiler. The Broncos are giving up the second most fantasy points to team defenses. It’s doubtful that Osweiler is going to provide much of a spark. He’s basically holding the job until Paxton Lynch is ready. The Eagles scored 20 DK points last week. They could approach that number again on Sunday.
Bargain Basement Play
Los Angeles Rams ($3,100 DraftKings) ($4,800 FanDuel)
We gave out a couple of Giants but it’s hard to not like the Rams defense from a fantasy perspective too at their low salary. They always seem to be undervalued at DraftKings for some reason. In their last two games, the Rams defense has scored 17 and 22 DK points. They average 12.3 DK points on the year. This week Los Angeles gets a Giants offense that allows the 14th most fantasy points to team defenses. The Rams have 11 sacks in their last three games. Fire them up again until their salary goes up.